วันศุกร์ที่ 30 ธันวาคม พ.ศ. 2554

MACROECONOMIC DEVELOPMENTS AND FINANCIAL SECTOR DEVELOPMENT IN 2007






CAMBODIA: MACROECONOMIC DEVELOPMENTS
AND FINANCIAL SECTOR DEVELOPMENT IN 2007

By Dr. Hang Chuon Naron
Secretary General
Ministry of Economy and Finance
Supreme National Economic Council


1.       An Overview of Macroeconomic Developments in 2007

This paper outlines the major aspects of Cambodia’s economic performance in 2007. After climbing to an all time record of 13.4 per cent in 2005, growth of real GDP slowed to 10.4 per cent in 2006 and was estimated at 9.6 per cent in 2007 in line with projections. During the last decade, Cambodia doubled her per capita GDP to US$589 in 2007. Nevertheless, the size of Cambodia’s Gross Domestic Product is still relatively modest at US$8.4 billion. Cambodia’s per capita GDP is expected to reach the US$1,000 benchmark by 2015, possibly even before this deadline when oil and gas production comes on stream. Poverty was estimated to drop from 35% in 2004 to 31% in 2007.

Economic performance in 2007 though somewhat diminished compared with 2006 was still impressive. This underscored the increasing resiliency of the economy and showed that the performance in 2006 was neither a stray outcome nor a mere statistical artifact. Important contributions for the strong economic performance in 2007 came from steady growth in agriculture (4.0 per cent), sustained growth of tourism receipts (10.2 per cent), the continued growth in garment exports (10 per cent) and the continued expansion of financial services (22.2 per cent) and construction activities (4.3 per cent).

Fiscal policy continued to be prudent in 2007. While the current budget surplus increased to 3.1 per cent of GDP, the overall budget deficit declined to 1.5 per cent of GDP reflecting ongoing budget consolidation. As the result of the Public Financial Management Reform, revenue increased by 1.5 per cent of GDP during the last two years to reach 11.8 percent of GDP in 2007, while expenditure was maintained at the previous level. Tax revenue increased by 45%. As a result, cash in the government coffers increased by 200 times in early 2008, compared to 2003.

Monetary developments in 2007 reflected the continued improvement in external position. Credit to the private sector rose by 71 per cent while M2 increased by 63 per cent. The key objectives of monetary policy were maintaining price stability and bolstering international reserves. These were substantially achieved, as Cambodia’s international reserves increased by US$600 million in 2007 to US$1.7 billion.  Inflation was contained to an estimated 5.9 per cent, despite high oil prices.

The deficit in the current account of the balance of payments reduced to 7.5 per cent in 2007. However, overall balance of payments continued to register a larger surplus of US$264 million or 3 per cent of GDP, mainly due to the strong inflow of capital receipts.


2.       Real Sector Performance in 2007

Two key features of economic performance in recent years are the increasing diversity of the sectors contributing to economic growth and the robust contribution of the agriculture sector to economic growth.

Figure 1. Economic Growth in 1994-2007

Real GDP growth has averaged 11 per cent during 2004-2007. The Royal Government of Cambodia has moved strongly to support agriculture and the garment sector. However growth has not been centered only on these two sectors. Tourism and construction are also emerging as important growth centers in the economy. Overall recent economic performance has been characterized by balanced contributions from agriculture, manufacturing, construction and services. This was clearly evident in 2007.

2.1. Agriculture

After strong growth in 2005 (15.7%) and 2006 (5.5%) agriculture grew by 4.0 per cent in 2007. Rice production increased by 4.9%, mainly due to measures taken by the RGC to build irrigation facilities and pumping stations for increasing the area under irrigation. Cambodia produced a rice surplus of 2 million tones.

Livestock grew by 6.7 per cent in 20067. Fisheries grew by 0.8 per cent in 2006. The performance of fisheries is disappointing since the government has put considerable emphasis on the revival of this key sub sector which provides livelihoods for the poor and marginal sections of society.

2.2. Industry

Industry’s growth continued to be strong at 7.5 per cent. The key contribution came from the exports of textiles and garments (growth of 10 per cent). The textile and garment sub sector, which accounts for nearly half of the value added of the industrial sector, led this spurt.

In order to reduce the costs of doing business, the RGC has exempted the garment industry from the corporate tax. The tax foregone amounts to US$100 million per annum. As a further incentive to this industry, the government has decided to reduce the export management fee by 10 per cent in 2007.

The mining sub sector grew by 5.5 per cent. The major activities contributing to this growth were the exploration of oil and gas in the Gulf of Thailand, the exploration of bauxite and gold in the Northeast, and the establishment of an iron ore extracting company in Preah Vihear Province, in the northeastern part of Cambodia.

Construction activities showed signs of slowing down. Construction only grew by 4.3 per cent, although the figure is still temporary. In particular, construction activities in Phnom Penh and Siem Reap continued to expand, albeit at a slower pace. New township projects and the planned construction of two bridges across the Tonle Sap River in Phnom Penh, as well as the establishment of Special Economic Zones would give a strong boost to construction in the years to come.

2.3. The Services Sector

Services grew by 10.0 per cent in 2007, at the same rate as in 2006. All the sub sectors of services have shown robust growth. The expansion of the tourism and hotel industry continued, with a growth rate of 10.2 per cent. In 2007, a total of 2 million tourists visited Cambodia.

The RGC has put emphasis on strengthening the linkages between tourism and rural development in order for the poor to benefit from the expansion of tourism. The RGC intends to transform the entire Siem Reap region into a green belt so that strong backward linkages of tourism with agriculture could be established.

The transport and communication sub sector grew moderately by 6.6 per cent. After completing the rehabilitation and reconstruction of the national road network, the RGC has turned its attention to the rebuilding of provincial and rural road infrastructure in order to bring the rural areas of Cambodia into the mainstream of the economy.

The telecommunications sub sector showed a robust growth, especially the market of mobile phone services. However, the telephone tariffs in Cambodia are high and discourage a rapid growth of telecommunications.

The financial sector grew by 22.2 per cent. The main contributor was the rapid growth of commercial banking services. Real estate increased by 10.7 per cent reflecting the surge in private sector construction. Trade grew moderately by 9.4 per cent.


3. External Sector Performance

The main developments in the external sector in 2007 were the continued shrinking size of the current account deficit as a proportion of GDP, rapid increase in service receipts and foreign direct investments (FDI), and the increase in foreign currency deposits of commercial banks with the National Bank of Cambodia. Official transfers decreased slightly. As a result of these favorable external sector developments the overall balance of payments and the gross international reserves continued to improve in 2007.


3.1. Exports and Imports

Exports increased by only 9 per cent from US$3.7 billion in 2006 to US$3.8 billion in 2007, due to continued increase in garments exports, although the pace of growth has leveled out. Garment exports increased by 11 per cent from US$2.6 billion in 2006 to US$3 billion in 2007. Garment exports account for nearly 70 per cent of Cambodia’s total exports.

The US remained the top export market, accounting for 70 per cent of Cambodia’s total exports, followed by the European Union – 21 per cent and Canada – 4 per cent. Re-exports were estimated at US$184 million. Vietnam has become a strong competitor for Cambodian garment exports to the US. Garment exports from Vietnam to the US have increased rapidly at the expense of China, which focused more and more on domestic markets.

Figure 14. Garment Exports
















Total imports increased by 12 per cent from US$4.7 billion in 2006 to US$5.3 billion in 2007, mainly due to the growth in the imports of petroleum products and intermediate products for the production of garments.

2.2. Trade Balance

Cambodia’s trade deficit in 2007 increased by 20 per cent to US$1.3 billion, due to the increase in the value of petroleum imports.


3.3. The Balance of Services and Revenues

Services account increased by 27 per cent. Net services were estimated at US$644 million in 2007, compared with US$506 million in 2006. This increase was mainly due to the growth in tourism receipts (US$1.1 billion).

The private transfers increased by 5 per cent from US$315 million in 2006 to US$332 million in 2007, while the official transfers in the form of grants, food aid and project aid, experienced a 7 – per cent decline from US$449 million in 2006 to US$416 million in 2007. 

3.4. Current Account

The current account deficit slightly increased from 1 per cent of GDP in 2006 to 1.8 per cent of GDP in 2007. Excluding official transfers, the current account deficit decreased from 7.2 per cent of GDP in 2006 to 6.7 per cent in 2007.

3.5. Capital Account

The financial account increased by 39 per cent from US$324 million in 2006 to US$451 million in 2007. The capital transfers in the form of medium and long term loans increased by 41 percent from US$123 million in 2006 to US$173 million in 2007.

The influx of private capital in the form of FDI increased by 50 percent, from US$475 million in 2006 to US$711 million in 2007. The increase in investments reflects the confidence in political and macroeconomic stability in the country.

3.6. Overall Balance

Overall the balance of payments in 2007 was in surplus by US$290 million. This good performance was mainly due to the increase in tourism receipts (US$1.1 billion), the surplus of both private and official transfers (US$748 million), the increase in concessional loans, and the increase in foreign direct investment (US$711 million). The overall balance of payments surplus increased from 2.8 per cent of GDP in 2006 to 3.4 per cent of GDP in 2007.

4. Financial Sector Development in 2007

Cambodia’s financial sector can be described as vibrant, competitive and rapidly expanding. The rapid increase in deposits in the commercial banks and sub sectors (note Table 1) attests to growing public confidence in the sector, the transparency and the level playing.

Table A -Key Macroeconomic Indicators of the Financial Sector

                                                   
Real GDP growth has increased annually but the agriculture sector still lags behind the industry and service sectors. Interest rates for loans in US dollars (mainly urban commercial) and Riel loans (microfinance rural) have decreased. Microfinance loan interest not listed in Table 1 has decreased by a net 6% per annum recently as competition has increased. The main key indicators for private sector credit and loans have shown strong growth as shown by the number of loans and the total values in both the commercial bank and the microfinance sub sectors.

4.1. Financial Sector Development Strategy 2006–2015

Financial sector reform is guided by the ten-year sector blueprint “Vision and Financial Sector Development Plan for 2001-2010”, which was adopted by the Royal Government of Cambodia on the 24th August 2001. The blueprint envisages the development of a sound, market-based financial system in ten years that will enhance resource mobilization and sustainable economic growth.

The blueprint was updated with the technical assistance of the ADB and on 7 June 2007, the Prime Minister launched the “Financial Sector Development Strategy 2006–2015”, which will guide the financial sector reform in the next 10 years, designed to increase competitiveness, including adoption of the Law on Negotiable Instruments and Payment Transactions, which aims to improve payment transactions, eliminates legal uncertainties, and reduce payment system risks. A Credit Information Sharing System has been introduced, providing commercial banks with credit-related information on prospective customers, thus lowering delinquency rates and loan defaults. The development of a national payment system and a comprehensive information technology system for banking functions has become a pressing sectoral challenge.

In promoting integration and soundness of our financial system, the RGC is committed in policy shift towards openness and integration with the region and the rest of the world. In this context, the following key characteristics in pursuing economic and financial policy strategy towards deepening integration and strengthening financial system should be emphasized:

·        First, the crucial importance of a sound macroeconomic framework that can deliver macroeconomic stability and the extent to which that is a prerequisite for sustainable growth.

·        Second, a competitive, integrated, and efficient banking system that is properly regulated and supervised and effectively mobilizes savings to provide financing to support the growth of the private sector, a reliable payment system and a banking safety net.

·        Third, a viable, pro-poor microfinance system for providing affordable financial services to enable the poor to enhance rural income and reduce poverty.

·        Fourth, an insurance sector that protects businesses and individuals from catastrophic events. We are now developing a life insurance sector in order to meet the needs of the Cambodian population, as well as act as a pension system that provides a secure retirement and provide capital for long-term investment in the real sector.

·        Fifth, an efficient and transparent capital market with a critical mass of issuers that mobilizes funds for long-term investment. We are working in partnership with the Korean Exchange to prepare a study and develop infrastructure in order to launch the first Cambodian Stock Exchange in 2009.

·        Sixth, legal and accounting systems that promotes the rule of law in commercial and financial transactions and support good governance by promoting transparency, accountability, and predictability. The MEF is training up to 70 Chartered Public Accountants a year in order to improve the financial statements and disclosure of the corporate sector. This is crucial for the development of the Stock market.

4.2.    Inflation
Inflation (yearly average) accelerated from 4.7 per cent in 2006 to 5.9 per cent in 2007. Rapid increase in oil prices, the hike in food prices and US dollars depreciation contributed to the rising inflation. The retail price of rice increased by 16.8 percent from 1,410 riel to 1,602 riel per kilo for the high quality rice, reflecting rising rice exports to neighboring countries. The pump price of petrol increased by 10 percent compared to 2006, while the prices of diesel increased by 18 percent.

4.3.        Exchange Rate

Prudent monetary and fiscal policies of the RGC helped moderate inflation and maintain a stable exchange rate. In 2007, the riel appreciated by 1.2 per cent against the US dollar in nominal terms. Through the foreign currency operations, notably the purchase of US dollars, the National Bank of Cambodia managed to maintain the stability of the exchange rate, while accumulating the international reserves by US$600 million in 2007.

4.4.    Monetary Developments

The key monetary developments during 2007 included the following:

·        Domestic credit grew by 71 per cent.
·        Credit to the private sector increased by 76 per cent.
·        Liquidity was up by 63 per cent.
·        Net foreign assets of the banking system rose by 49 per cent.

The growth in domestic credit was mainly due to the increase of government deposits (90%) and expansion of credit to the private sector (76%). The substantial expansion in liquidity reflected the healthy improvement in Cambodia’s external position. The liquidity expansion supported the high growth of GDP and further contributed to financial deepening. The net foreign assets rose by more than 34.2 per cent, in parallel with the increase in credit to the private sector, which grew by 51.6 per cent. A more detailed outline of these developments is given below.

Figure. Financial Deepening (M2/GDP)
 


















Cambodia experienced rapid financial deepening, with M2 to GDP ratio increased rapidly from 12.60% in 2000 to 21.20% in 2006.

4.4.1. Gross International Reserves

The net foreign assets of the banking system increased by 49 percent from US$1.8 billion in December 2006 to US$2.6 billion in December 2007. The gross international reserves increased from US$1.1 Billion in December 2006 to US$1.7 billion in December 2007 – an increase of US$600 million for the whole year –, due to continued good export performance, increase in foreign direct investments and acceleration of capital inflows.

Domestic credit increased by 71 percent from US$659 million in December 2006 to US$1.1 billion in December 2006, reflecting the rapid increase in government deposits (70% to US$527 million) and the acceleration of credits to the economy (76% to US$1.6 billion).





Figure 4. Gross International Reserves, 1994-2007
(in million dollars)

4.4.2. Net Claims on Government

The net claims on government expanded by 90 per cent, from -US$234 million in December 2006 to -US$453 million in December 2007, reflecting rapid increase in government deposits at the National Bank of Cambodia (NBC) from US$305 million in 2006 to US$527 million in 2007, while government debts to the banking system increased slightly by 3.6 per cent to US$74 million. Thus, the budget resources that the government can spend immediately amounted to US$527 million.

4.4.3. Credits to the Economy


Credits to the private sector accelerated by 76 per cent, after a 52-percent increase in 2006, from US$893 million in December 2006 to US$1.6 billion in 2007 mainly for financing trade and investment.

Credits to the economy were granted to the following sectors: services – 29 per cent; trade – 22 per cent; manufacturing – 10 per cent; construction – 10 per cent; real estate and public utilities – 8 percent; agriculture – 5 percent; imports – 4 per cent; and other sectors 12 per cent.

4.4.4. Liquidity

Figure 5. Growth of Board Money: 2000 – 2007
(percent change; end of period)

Liquidity or money supply increased by 63 per cent from US$1.7 billion in 2006 to US$2.8 billion in 2007, due to the growth in foreign currency deposits and  money in circulation.
 













4.4.5. Deposits

Deposits with the banking system increased by 45 per cent from US$1.3 million in December 2006 to US$2.3 billion in December 2007. These deposits are categorized as foreign currency deposits - US$2.27 billion; time and saving deposits - US$30.2 million and demand deposits – US$15.53 million. The above distribution of deposits reflects the increase in dollarization of the economy.

4.4.6. Money in Circulation

Money in circulation increased by 24 per cent from 1,500 billion riels in 2006 to 1,989 billion of riels in 2007, to keep pace with economic expansion.

4.5. The Commercial Banking Sector

The commercial banking sector is vibrant, competitive, innovative and is rapidly expanding, playing its part in a growth economy. The Commercial Banking Sector now consists of 15 fully licensed and 6 licensed specialised banks. Most banks have established additional branches in other urban centres and are continuing to plan further offices in other urban centres. Currently there is one branch providing full banking services per 120,000 citizens.

Commercial banking involvement in the Cambodian economy is relatively small but growing rapidly, the more aggressive and progressive banks attaining a growth rate ranging from 40 to 100 percent in deposits annually. The Figure shows that bank credit and deposits experienced a rapid growth during the last seven years.

Figure. Growth of Credit and Deposits
 


















While underlying cash flows is the first consideration in processing a loan, almost all will not lend unless registered land is offered as collateral. Banks report that approximately 90 percent of SMEs do not maintain written financial records. Banks now encourage customers and SMEs seeking working capital to compile and maintain financial records. The number of commercial bank loans as measured as at December 31st from 2002 to 2000 has doubled to total 164,000. This is the equivalent of 1.2% of Cambodia's population.

The RGC, the economy and the banking sector will all benefit significantly when land registration is completed. The banks from having a greater pool of property on which they can lend, the government from increased taxes from increased banking profits, but more importantly individual owners who have to pay an average cost of US$2,000 to $3,000 should they wish to quickly register property and raise a loan from the bank.

The National Bank of Cambodia (NBC) supervision and regulatory measures and the fear of time and costs of having to resolve foreclosure in court have ensured most banks have few or no non- performing loans. Most have expressed support for improvements to the courts and would welcome the establishment of a commercial court.

Commercial banks eagerly await the adoption of a number of laws that have been submitted to the NA as they see business growth opportunities arising from adoption of laws further underpinning commercial growth and providing a greater degree of certainty of having law in which to base decisions and future business.

Like all growing industries, the lack of experienced persons in commercial banking at all levels has restricted planned growth and caused an increase in salaries in an endeavour to protect staff from being taken by other banks competing for the available resource.

As public confidence has grown so that the use of cheques as the preferred means of payment and transfer of wealth as shown in Table A. Banks have not been idle and have unofficially established an interbank market between five, as a consequence there is wide support to officially establish the market. The commercial banking sub sector would benefit significantly by extending the NBC cheque clearance system to other urban centres where volume and demand for the service existed.

While there is growing support for the establishment of a money market, the
Issue of bonds and other negotiable short term instruments remains too small to support a sustainable money market in the short to medium term. A capital market focused on the trading of company shares is more attainable as the principal institutions and supporting procedures have been largely implemented. What remains is the determining the rules and the establishment of a regulatory body to oversee fair and transparent trading. Like all newly established capital markets, traders and investors will go through a learning period and during this time volatility and the risks will be substantial until a level of maturity is attained.

In conclusion it is apparent that the commercial banking sector is well established but like a growing young adult further support will be needed to ensure future sustainability is fully embedded. The items and areas of additional sector assistance of providing additional legal infrastructure, electronic automation of NBC processes, establishment of an interbank and capital (stock exchange) market and further capacity building have been identified as beneficial.

Cambodia’s banking system is well capitalized and highly liquid. The solvency ratio (net worth/ risk-weighted assets) amounted to 26%, far exceeding the regulatory ratio of 15%. The liquidity ratio (liquid assets/ total assets) was equal 50%. Non-Performing Loans represented only 6.5% in March 2007. The profitability of the banking system has doubled. However, the concentration of the banking sector has accelerated during the last few years, with 71% of all loans granted by the first five banks and 35% of the loans were granted to the services sector (tourism and hotel).

4.5.1. Assets

The total assets of the banking system increased from 20% of GDP in 2000 to 27.4% of GDP in 2006, amounting to 1,962 billion riels. The objective of the credit functions is to create value for the bank. It is therefore important to ensure appropriate and prudent risk management. The assets of the first five Cambodian commercial banks represented 67% of the total bank assets.

Figure 4.5.1. Commercial Bank Assets
(in million US dollars)

Such rapid expansion of the banking system can be attributed to the following factors: political stability has promoted public confidence in the banking system; robust macroeconomic developments, with average GDP growth of 11 percent during the last four years; and improvement in bank supervision and control by the National Bank of Cambodia (NBC). Transparency is crucial for promoting public confidence in the banking system.

4.5.2. Concentration

Bank concentration is measured by the proportion of the major commercial banks in banking operations. The concentration of the first five banks has further accelerated in 2006. The first five banks accounted for 67% of assets amounting to US$1.26 billion, a 57 – percent increase (or US$439 million) compared to 2001.

The level of deposit and loan concentration remained high. At the end of 2006, the first three banks (Canadia, ACLEDA and Cambodia Public Bank) accounted for 49% of all deposits and 61% of all loans of the banking system. Foreign currency deposits are dominated by US dollars, which accounted for 95% of all bank deposits.

4.5.3. Deposits and Loans

Loans and deposits increased at a sustainable rate. Cambodia’s bank deposits increased faster than nominal GDP growth. Total deposits more than tripled from 1,789 billion riels in 2001 to 5,687 billion riels in 2006, mainly due to the increase in dollar-denominated deposits. During that period nominal GDP has only doubled.

Figure 4.5.2. Commercial Bank Deposits
(in billion riels)

Credit to the private sector has also more than tripled, from US$249 million in 2000 to US$883 in 2006 and more than US$1 billion in 2007.







Figure 4.5.3. Credit to the Private Sector
(in million US dollars)

The number of depositors and borrowers increased by 16% pour the fully-fledged commercial banks and by 24% for the Microfinance Institutions (MFIs).

Figure 4.5.4. Sectoral Allocation of Loans in 2006

The above figure provides sectoral allocation of loan portfolio to the private sector by the banking system. The services sector (tourism and hotels) accounted for 33% of all bank loans; wholesale and retail trade – 23%; manufacturing – 12%; while real estate – 9%. Construction represented only 8% of all bank loans; and agriculture – 4%. For all sectors, loan portfolio has accelerated.

During the last five years, commercial banks have branched out rapidly in the provinces. The number of bank branches increased to 116 and banking services now cover all urban areas of the country. However, banking services in the rural areas remained under-developed, despite the fact that 80% of population lives in the rural areas. Although microfinance loan increased by 90% in 2006.

Another sigh of commercial bank expansion is the multiplication of ATM, which increased by 17 to 86 in 2006.

Figure 4.5.5. Personnel of the Banking Sector

ACLEDA Bank, which was graduated from a MFI, ranked first in terms of the number of employees. The bank has 157 branches and employed more than 3,000 people in 2006. This number increased to around 5,000 in 2007, as ACLEDA Bank has opened more branches.

4.5.4. Profitability of the Banking System

Two methods can be used to analyze bank profitability: The Return on Equity (ROE) ratio and the Return on Assets (ROA) ratio. ROE – the financial profitability ratio – is measured by dividing net profit by capital. It expresses the return from the shareholders’ point of view by highlighting the profitability of their investments. However, this ratio can give a false indicator of profitability, as a high profit ratio can be achieved by possessing a low level of capital.    

According to the Figure 4.5.6 the return on assets is still low in Cambodia. The ROA of Cambodian commercial banks increased from 0.6% in 2001 to only 2.8% in 2006, even though the level of loans was high. This is attributable to high costs in Cambodia.   

The profitability can be expressed by the Return on Equity. The disadvantage of this indicator is that it puts the whole assets in the same category, while their underlying risks are different. Moreover, off-balance sheet liabilities of banks also increased during the last few years. Return on equity increased from 1.7% in 2001 to 14.2% in 2006.

4.5.5. Structure of Resources

The development of the solvency of the banking system can be drawn from the prudential measures. The year 2006 can be characterized by the adoption of the new accounting standards.

4.5.5.1. Capital

The solvency ratio of Cambodia’s commercial banks far exceeded the regulatory requirements. The solvency ratio decreased from 32% in 2005 to 26% in 2006, but still above the prudential standards required by the NBC, which was set at 15%. 




4.5.5.2. Risk Structure

In order to detect credit risk from the overall bank risks, we can analyze the credit risk, liquidity risk and the interest rate risk etc. A commercial bank that manages well its credit risk, everything being equal, can get a very high score. It can therefore be considered as the most prudent in risk management. Those that manage poorly their credit risk would have a very low score.


On the other hand, the banking risk can be detected by using other ratios, such as Risk Covered Ratio or Cook ratio and the credit risk.

The asset-weighted risk ratio increased from 40% in 2005 to 56% in 2006, while the prudential funds decreased from 22.3% in 2005 to 19.4% in 2006. Some 32% of commercial bank assets are held by the NBC as guarantee. These guarantee funds amounted to US$120 million in 2006, accounting for 8.6% of bank deposits.

The credit risk can be calculated by: RC = provisions/ total loans

It is clear that the difference between the maximum and the minimum of the ratio is large, indicating that commercial banks do not make their provisions for loan default in the same manner. The norm for risk division is based on three following rules:

1.     Limiting the risk vis-à-vis the biggest clients or large exposure: the total risk exposure of all borrowers, with each one exceeding 5% of the net capital of the bank, should not exceed 10 times of the net capital;

2.     Limiting the risk exposure for each borrower not to exceed 25% of the net capital of the bank;

3.     Limiting the risk exposure for the Executive Officers, administrators and shareholders to the total amount not exceeding 3 times of the net capital of the bank;

Attention should also be given to large exposure loans exceeding the normal limit, but guaranteed by the mother companies of some international banks.

4.5.5.3. Non-Performing Loans

The evaluation of the risks for commercial banks should be made based on a number of ratios : capital to risk assets ratio, the ratio of non-performing loans to risk assets and the NPL covered ratio.

The NPL increased from 7.5% in 2005 to 9.8% in 2006, due to the introduction of a new international accounting standards. The NPL of Cambodia’s commercial banks was reduced to 6.5% in 2007, a level considered to be reasonable. As 95% of all banking transactions, deposits and loans are in US dollars, the currency and liquidity risks of commercial banks are negligible.

Figure 4.5.9. Non-Performing Loans

List of Commercial Banks (as of 31 March 2007)
1
Advanced Bank of Asia Ltd.
2
Cambodia Asia Bank Ltd.
3
Canadia Bank Plc
4
Cambodian Commercial Bank Ltd.
5
Cambodia Mekong Bank Ltd.
6
Cambodia Public Bak
7
First Commercial Bank Phnom Penh Branch
8
Foreign Trade Bank of Cambodia
9
Krung Thai Bank Public Co. Ltd. Phnom Penh Branch
10
May Bank Phnom Penh Branch
11
Singapore Banking Corporation
12
Union Commercial Bank Plc.
13
Vattanak Bank
14
ACLEDA Bank Plc.
15
ANZ Royal Bank Cambodia

Specialized Banks
1
Rural Development Bank
2
Specialized Bank PENG HENG SME. Ltd.
3
Cambodia Agricultural Industrial Specialized Bank
4
First Investment Specialized Bank
5
ANCO Specialized Bank
6
CAMCO Bank

Institutions de Micro-Finances
1
AMRET Co. Ltd.,
2
HATTHAKADSEKAR
3
TONG FANG Micro finance Ltd.
4
THANEAKEA PHUM CAMBODIA
5
Cambodian Entrepeneur Building Ltd.
6
SEILANITHIK Ltd.
7
Angkor Microheranh vatho Kampuchea
8
VISION FUND (Cambodia) Ltd.
9
CREDIT Co. Ltd.
10
PRASAC MICROFINANCE Institution Ltd.
12
FARMER UNION DEVELOPMENT FUND
13
Cambodian Business Integrate in Rural Area
14
Maxima Mikroheranhvatho
15
INTEAN POALROATH RONGROEURNG
16
CHC Limited
17
PISETH Akphiwat Sethakech

Representative Office

1
STANDARD CHARTERED
2
VIETNAM BANK FOR AGRICULTURE AND RURAL DEVELOPMENT

4.6. Microfinance

The micro finance sub sector is characterized by high levels of energy, vibrancy, competition and commercial innovation. Microfinance is expanding rapidly, around 80% last year with some institutions expanding at 200% per annum. The expansion is allowing microfinance to support and grow the economy, especially in its target market of the poor and remote rural population.

The Microfinance Sub Sector now consists of 25 registered Microfinance Institutions (MFIs) and 60 non-registered MFIs. A number have transitioned from aid focused NGOs to commercial MFIs and some have been set up as commercial, profit oriented MFIs from the outset. Most have plans to continue expanding rapidly with the establishment of more branches and more lending at existing branches.

At the end of 2006, MFIs have around 471,026 loans outstanding, with the total amount of 373 billion riels, a 90 – percent increase compared to 2005. Microfinance deposits increased by 61% to 12 billion riels. This was made by 113,277 depositors. The estimate in the 1998 Cambodian Census was that there were 1,750,930 poor families. While huge positive progress has been made there is still an enormous portion of the poor and remote rural population that does not have effective access to financial services. The expansion in net number of loans is currently around 10% per annum.

However, the microfinance sub sector lacks funding, due to the demand for loans far exceeding the supply of loans, due to the lack of deposits and the under-developed banking system in the rural areas. The microfinance loan portfolio amounted to US$60 million, which is far behind the demand of US$120 million.

While the expansion has been extremely rapid, with the cautious and prudent supervision and regulation by the NBC to date there has been nothing done wrong as part of the growth and development of the Micro Finance Sub Sector. This should not be under stated as a very credible achievement by all involved.

The MFIs have adopted a wide range of business models to deliver their services and products. All the models observed are consistent with good corporate governance and orderly market development.

The strength of governance and transparency of the MFIs was highlighted by the award to Cambodian MFIs of 4 out of 20 worldwide awards for Financial Transparency Awards by CGAP (Consultative Group to Assist the Poor).

Rapid expansion has put pressure on many aspects of the business. The most pressing is finding adequately trained and skilled people to meet the needs of a growing industry. Capital funding, both term debt and equity, are a constraint with all funds that can be raised at prices that allow profitable business growth being on-lent as quickly as the institutions can raise them. Business systems, particularly information technology (IT), are under strain to keep up with the growth.

The track record of the MFIs in managing their lending and minimising bad debts and non-performing loans has been exemplary with total losses well below 1 % of the portfolio. The loan delinquency ratio reduced from 0.8% in 2005 to only 0.3% in 2006.

The RGC, the economy and the micro finance sub sector will all benefit as land registration expands. The benefit will not be so much from allowing more lending but to make what lending is done a little safer and improve the assistance that MFIs provide to borrowers by reducing the ease that some borrowers have in making multiple loans against one asset and business proposition.

MFIs are not contributing to the mobilisation of savings in a significant way. They are also not really participating in assisting the poor in expanding their secure saving habits. The poor rate of savings mobilisation and expansion of formal savings is a major short coming of the current structure of the financial sector.

Foreign exchange risk management is an area where the lack of available tools has led to a number of sub-optimal management practices which could put some MFIs at risk, especially if they continue to grow without formal and effective foreign exchange management policies. This is because the bulk of borrowings are in US$ and a major part of lending in Riel.

The MFIs have a high level of respect for the supervision and regulatory role of the NBC. The NBC has adopted a firm stance in respect of interpretation and enforcement of the regulations. This is to be applauded. There are however a number of regulations that could be reviewed and amended to allow further expansion of services, products and more rapid savings mobilisation.

While MFIs are not seeing the lack of access to an inter-finance institution market or money market as a significant constraint on their operations, if and when these markets developed the rules and regulations should not exclude MFIs as a matter of course but give a clear pathway that would allow them to participate on meeting certain criteria.

The microfinance sector is well established and growing robustly. As with any rapidly expanding and developing sector further support is needed to ensure future sustainability is fully embedded. The items and areas of additional sector assistance of providing additional regulation, establishment of a foreign exchange market, additional and accelerated capacity building and further education or the poor and remote rural population have been identified as beneficial and needed future assistance.


4.7. Insurance Sector

The insurance industry is young and small. The insurance industry prior situation is not well appreciated by some within the sub sector and like the banking sector there are calls for relaxation of some of the regulatory requirements.

Growth has been steady (11 to 42% pa) from a limited range of insurance products, total gross premiums $17.5 mill for 2007. Oil & Gas Insurance was the main drive for the increase in 2007.

Figure 4.7.1. Gross Insurance Premiums
 


















There are 5 insurance companies – Forte, Asia Insurance, Caminco, Infinity Insurance, Long Pac Insurance - and one reinsurance company – Cambodia Re -  operating in Cambodia.

Figure 4.7.2. Insurance Lines of Business
 
















The three main products sold are commercial fire (27%), Motor Vehicle insurance (19%) and miscellaneous (20%). Other products sold include: hospital and surgical, personal and accident, marine cargo and travelers insurance. Oil and gas insurance has emerged as one of the leading insurance business line. The insurance companies operating in Cambodia are conservatively. This largely the result of the high percentage of the capital that is held by the Regulator.

The insurance industry requires a number of specialist roles that are not required in other industries. As insurance is young in Cambodia these specialists' skills are not available but there is a need to establish these skills (e.g. underwriters, actuarial, loss adjustors, fund managers).

With banks considering selling insurance products as they do in other countries there is possibly some synergy in expanding the Bankers Association to include the Insurance Sub Sector as well, or at least until it reaches a size that it could support its own institute.

The development of the industry will focus on the following areas:

The immediate priorities are:

·        Review of entire system. A comprehensive review of the regulatory system will be conducted in light of international best practices;

·        Financial reporting standards: Financial reporting standards for insurance companies to be developed; clear rules regarding the establishment of loss reserves for claims to be developed; and audit requirements for insurance companies to be clearly defined;

·        Matters relating to activities of the supervisor: Capacity building for MEF staff, including comprehensive training; consideration of regional cooperation and resource sharing; increase reliance on professionals, including adopting a file-and-use approach to reporting; introduction of MIS and IT support; and obtaining membership in the IAIS;

·        Privatization of CAMINCO: The privatization of this company will complete the process of developing a private insurance sector in Cambodia;

·        Inter-Ministerial Collaboration: MEF personnel, or whatever group is responsible for making insurance sector policy, will participate in Inter-Ministerial committees with representatives of the Ministry of Public Works and Transport, Ministry of Land Management, Urban Planning and Construction, Ministry of Tourism and Ministry of Interior to examine ways to promote greater compliance with the rules calling for mandatory insurance of vehicles and of construction sites;

·        Commencing support for the development of life insurance through feasibility studies and legal and regulatory development. A study will be undertaken to assess the potential market for life insurance business in Cambodia, including microfinance;

·        Micro-insurance: Introduce a special system for regulating and supervising the activities of its microfinance institutions that seek to offer insurance protection to their members. Rules will be less restrictive than would apply to normal insurance companies, and include parameters defining the types of institutions that may offer micro-insurance products and set appropriate bounds on the scope of their operations.;

·        Life insurance: Develop appropriate strategy for life insurance development, including necessary elements of legal framework, the commencing to support for the development of life insurance through feasibility studies and legal and regulatory development. A study will be undertaken to assess the potential market for life insurance business in Cambodia, including microfinance. Cambodia will revise its regulatory to enable the licensing and operation of companies that sell life insurance policies.

Medium term priorities are:

·        Life insurance: Authorize life insurance contracts as a funding vehicle for pension and retirement savings plans;

·        Actuarial requirements: There are no actuaries residing in Cambodia at present and the likelihood of establishing a local professional body is remote. Until there is more activity in the life insurance and pension area, it is unlikely that there will be sufficient work to attract actuaries to Cambodia. Actuaries supply the technical expertise necessary to evaluate long-term obligations in either insurance or pensions business. In most developing markets, necessary actuarial skills are obtained through the services of international bureaus situated in major centers. The introduction of life insurance operations will necessitate the establishment of rules;

·        Training institute: At present, there is no insurance training institution. Capacity-building is required for staff of the private insurance companies, just as it is for the supervisory staff. Provided the industry demonstrates robust growth, in the medium term it will be appropriate to consider the creation of a training institute based in Cambodia. This institute could contribute to training of sales representatives as well as supervisors and office managers;

·        Consumer protection and customer awareness: As insurance is a business of contracts, for such a business to be truly effective, both contracting parties should be fully informed before entering into the contract. Settlement of any claim arising under the contract should follow the terms of the contract. Any difference of opinion with respect to that settlement should be resolved through the courts or some formal alternate dispute resolution system. In order to support development, Cambodia will consider establishing a consumer affairs entity separate from supervision. Further, Government and industry, working together should adopt measures to raise public awareness of what insurance is and what services can be expected from an insurance policy. Consideration will also be given to legal and judicial training;

·        Tariff requirements and uniform policy wordings: GAIC will develop and propose a schedule of minimum prices to be charged for the most common insurance products. Tariffs proposed should be supported by independent professional assessment to ensure that they will be adequate to support the claim payments that could arise under the policies. The insurance supervisor would accept the tariffs and prescribe that the rates charged by companies should not be less than those specified in the tariff schedules. Arrangements must be made for enforcement of tariffs. Uniform policy wordings could be specified such that all companies would be expected to define coverage and nature of indemnity and loss in the same terms. The use of these wordings would also have to be enforced;

·        Feasibility study into the development of a private, voluntary pensions system in Cambodia: Private pension plans, organized on a voluntary basis, are institutional investors much like insurance companies. Whereas social security programs and any mandatory program for retirement savings would fall within the purview of the Ministry of Social Welfare, voluntary schemes and their supervision would be the responsibility of the MEF. Promotion of voluntary savings for retirement will be greatly assisted if there are fiscal incentives that make it attractive for individuals (or employers) to set aside a portion of current earnings as savings for retirement. The development of pension plans as institutional investors will also serve as a catalyst for the evolution of local securities markets.

Longer term objectives include:

·        Implementing the social security law, including issuing the appropriate supporting instruments;

·        Developing a regulatory system to deal with private pensions. It will be necessary to include vesting rules for employer contributions; funding requirements for guaranteed benefits; actuarial certification for defined benefit plans; investment rules that stress yield without sacrificing safety and necessary liquidity;

·        Examining the advantages of including a mandatory savings plan for formal sector workers, perhaps as a part of the social security system. Such a program may not be necessary in Cambodia, given the relatively young age of the majority of the population and the fact that the extended family concept of support is still very strong. However it must be recognized that this situation could change with greater urbanization.

4.8. Legal Infrastructure

Cambodia's law reform process in the financial and commercial areas is aimed at creating an enabling environment for the financial sector and for economic growth generally. The diagnostic on the legal Infrastructure shows that Cambodia has taken some important steps to prepare, adopt and implement some major laws. The second stage has now been reached where additions and refinements could be made to the legal framework.

An enabling legal framework for financial and commercial transactions could be achieved by continued support for Cambodia's process of law reform, including the adoption and implementation of the necessary set of core financial and commercial laws, harmonized and aligned in Cambodia's legal system.

There has been significant progress in a relatively short time. Additional draft laws are now either now before the National Assembly or being prepared by Ministry officials. These laws will improve business opportunities and provide greater certainty for financial and commercial transactions. They include the Law on Secured Transactions, the Law on Financial Leasing and the Law on Insolvency. A new Law on Commercial Contracts will provide rules for business agreements. There are others at the conceptual stage of development.

The diagnostic made key findings made in connection with Cambodia's dispute settlement system. Stakeholders in the financial sector repeatedly stated that the law should be "certain and transparent". The current court process for the enforcement of collateral on land is seen as lengthy, uncertain and subject to delays, including the impact of appeal steps.

The strengthening of Cambodia's dispute resolution system should be broadly supported. This is critical for the effective working of the emerging financial and commercial legal framework. The introduction of commercial arbitration under the new Law on Commercial Arbitration will be a key mechanism to consistently enforce contracts and fairly resolve commercial disputes. A new Commercial Court has the potential for improving transparency and finality under clearly set court procedures.

The introduction of more innovative financial products and services in a dynamic financial sector, balanced with a risk-based approach to supervision, will be assisted by support for a comprehensive review of the relevant banking and insurance laws. This may include the key elements of Cambodia's financial safety net, including the introduction of a form of depositor protection.

Corporate governance will be assisted if revision of the law for the handling of conflict of interest is strengthened, particularly for banks and financial institutions receiving deposits and other payments from the public. New market conduct rules for the protection of banks' customers will also help build public confidence.

In conclusion future assistance would be beneficial to the RGC in drafting laws at the conceptual stage and revision of those that require updating to reflect existing business conditions.




4.9. Exchange and Money Changers

The NBC has recently commenced registration of these businesses throughout Cambodia. These activities are conducted outside the formal banking arrangements and provide a 24 hour service that commercial banks currently do not service. There are 2,158 exchange bureau in Phnom Penh and 1,895 in the provinces.

Any form of supervision would at the most be inspections probably both on a random spot basis as well as on any participant or participants that generate complaints or other indications of bad practices.

The supervision would be focused on consumer protection and the promotion of good conduct.

To facilitate such a regime the participants could be registered (as the money changers are being registered today) with such registration really indicating a negative assurance to customers that this participant has not been found to have carried out unacceptable practices.

4.10. Capital Market Development

The “Financial Sector Development Strategy 2006-2015” envisages the development of a sound, market-based financial system. Capital market and banks function complementarily to enhance the efficiency of financial system which is crucial for stimulating economic growth.

The vision for financial market sub-sector is to have an efficient and transparent capital market with a critical mass of issuers that mobilize fund for long term investment. The markets will appropriately address risks, remove obstacles to financial development and support risk management and financial resource accumulation and allocation.

The development of the securities market will have the following advantages:

·        In addition to bank lending which basically is on short-term basis, capital market will increase the mobilization of savings, by providing diverse attractive instrument, for long term investment which is a source of economic growth. Not only does capital market increase mobilization of domestic savings but also attract foreign portfolio investment;

·        People invest their savings in securities. It will lead to a more rational allocation of resources because funds, which have been consumed, or kept in idle deposits with banks, are mobilized and redirected to promote business activities;

·        Not only does capital market increase the mobilization of domestic savings but also attract foreign portfolio investment which is another source of fund for long term productive investment. Currently, Cambodia can only attract foreign direct investment due to the fact that securities exchange does not exist yet. Foreign portfolio investment basically will come through securities exchange;

·        Investors are usually reluctant to join long-term investment project, though with high return. With highly liquid capital market, investors can access their savings easily at any time. This will induce more savers to invest in long-term productive investment projects, contributing to higher economic growth;

·        Securities market exerts corporate control through information disclosure requirements to ensure their management standards and efficiency;

·        Public companies tend to have better management records than privately-held companies;

·        Companies view acquisitions as an opportunity to expand product line, increase distribution channels, hedge against volatility, increase its market share, or acquire other necessary business assets;

Securities exchange has the function of providing a marketplace that:

·        Enhances the liquidity of securities and helps form fair prices that reflect the relative strength of supply and demand. With this function, investors can invest in securities free from anxiety and enterprises can raise fund smoothly by issuing securities;

·        Publish the formed prices that serve as a base for assessing the collateral value or asset value of underlying securities;

For investors of listed securities, the are the following advantages:

·        Opportunity to buy and sell securities at fair price;

·        More choices of investment;

·        Advantages for listed companies;

·        Smooth and diverse way of capital raising;

·        Higher trust and higher name value.
·        The market value of the securities can be used as an indicator of the corporate value;

·        The securities of listed companies can be used as currency in Merging and Acquisition dealings;

·        Enhancement of internal control and morale of corporate staffs.

4.10.1. Phases for Capital Market Development

The capital market development plan consists of three sequenced development phases:

Phase 1 (2006-2009):

·        Development of appropriate regulatory framework relating to insolvency, and the progressive company framework;

·        Enactment of Law on Issuance and Trading of Non-Government Securities;

·        Continuing improvement of accounting / auditing capacity;

·        Implementing the MOU with the Korean Exchange;

·        Training to raise public awareness, investor education and human resource development to support financial market development.

Phase 2 (2009-2012):

·        Implementing progressive, graduated  framework for companies;

·        Launch of the Cambodian Securities Exchange;

·        Securities depository in the CSE for all public companies in operation and public company registration opened;



·        Implementation of financial enforcement and regulation;

·        Continuing development of financial information and company regulation;

·        Public offerings of securities only permitted through a formal securities exchange;

·        Design of investor compensation scheme to address risks of failure of securities intermediaries holding client assets.     

Phase 3 (2012-2015):

·        Development of investment funds;

·        Development of pensions/provident fund scheme;

·        Development of securitization framework/institution;

·        Development of derivatives market;

·        Enactment of Law on Government Securities on 10 Jan. 2007. MEF has been preparing sub-decree and Prakas under the law;

·        Operation of government securities may start first in order to assist in gaining the public investor’s confidence and get them into the habits of dealing with securities;

·        Set up some special incentives to attract investors in government securities (tax incentives);

4.10.2. Key Issues of Capital Market Development

The Law on the Issuance and Trading of Non-Government Securities allows for:

·        Establishment of Cambodian Securities and Exchange Commission – the only regulatory body regulating and supervising all kind of securities businesses;

·        Primary market for offering and issuing new securities to public investors;

·        Conduct of securities exchange, securities intermediaries, clearing and settlement, securities depository;

·        Regulations for a fair, efficient and transparent securities market and investor protection.


4.10.2. Implementation of the Cambodian Securities Market Project

The Ministry of Finance and Economy of Korea and the Ministry of Economy and Finance of Cambodia signed a MOU on May 4, 2006, indicating their intentions of collaboration in the establishment of a securities exchange in Cambodia. A Roadmap was prepared to guide the implementation of the project.

The purpose of this road map is (i) to define the preparatory role of each party for establishing a securities exchange in Cambodia and preparing for the operation of the newly established securities exchange; (ii) to specify the core tasks to be carried out by each party for the establishment of a securities exchange; and (iii) to propose a time table for the core tasks. The activities will be carried out during 36 months following the signing of the MOU by the KRX and the MEF.

The appropriate legal framework is essential for the establishment and nurturing of capital market. The MEF will prepare for and introduce a legal framework necessary for the establishment of a securities exchange in Cambodia. The KRX will provide suitable experts to assist the preparatory work.               

The schedule for the establishment of the Cambodian Securities Market has been agreed as follows:

The MEF will make efforts to facilitate the legislation of the laws  required for the foundation of the securities market. This effort will entail the followings:

(i)    To formulate and execute laws and regulations for the establishment of SEC, a securities exchange and securities firms;
(ii) To formulate and execute laws and regulations for fostering potential listed companies and investors;

(iii)                       To enforce accounting and auditing standards.


5. Public Finances

Since 1998, the Government has significantly improved the alignment of resources with its developmental objectives by increasing allocations for priority sectors, notably education and health. Government-executed spending on the priority sectors increased from 1.4 percent of GDP in 1998 to 3.2 percent in 2001. Furthermore, as indicated in the National Poverty Reduction Strategy (NPRS) the Royal Government of Cambodia (RGC) intends to continue this strategy, presenting ambitious targets for growth in priority sector spending. The reallocation to the priority sectors was financed through increased growth and revenues, and reduced expenditures in defense and security.

Challenges linking policy and expenditure have resulted in significant sectoral differences in the effectiveness of expenditures in improving social welfare outcomes, thus pointing to expenditure management as the key constraint. In education steady progress has been made since 1999, in expanding educational opportunities by growing total enrolment. There have also been some significant achievements in the health sector, including a decline in the level of some communicable diseases and expansion of physical coverage of the system. However, the sector needs to improve access to services, which remains low and uneven, and rectify the imbalance in the incidence of spending. In the roads sector, though a start has been made on reconstruction and rehabilitation, the state of the road network remains poor. Significant increases in maintenance expenditure are required. In the agricultural sector the lack of both clear sector policy and output information makes evaluation of impact difficult.

Recent experience suggests that in order to reach stated poverty reduction goals, it will be necessary to improve the effectiveness of spending by linking it more closely to priority outcomes. Increased effectiveness can be attained by improving the pro-poor targeting of resources through more tightly linked sector plans and budgets. Public expenditure and financial management have thus emerged as the first priority of the reform program. Without expenditure management reform, the impact of further improvements in expenditure policy will be limited.

However, the RG has recognized that the public financial management system in Cambodia is still weak and good governance in managing public finance is still a major concern of the RG. In this context, it is necessary to continue promoting the implementation of a deeper, systematic, and comprehensive public financial management reform program.

In this context, the “Rectangular Strategies for Growth, Employment, Equity and Efficiency in Cambodia which has been set out by Samdech Prime Minister Hun Sen as an economic policy agenda of the RG within the third legislature of the National Assembly has reemphasized the necessity to continue improving the public financial management system in Cambodia.

The Ministry of Economy and Finance has embarked on a systematic evaluation of the state of the administration’s public financial management system to draw on all related documents such as assessment reports, analytical and evaluation reports, as well as other related reports in the area of public financial management, and experience from RGC’s reform programs, especially the Strengthening Economic and Financial Management program, which also known as the Technical Cooperation Assistance Program (TCAP), and the Integrated Fiduciary Assessment and Public Expenditure Review (IFAPER)  which were the technical cooperation programs supported by many donor agencies and countries. The important goal has been to develop a comprehensive public financial management reform program with a clear long-term vision; and a stage-by-stage program with clear and realistic action plans for each stage toward achieving the vision endorsed by the RGC.

These efforts have been recognized and strongly supported by our development partners, including bilateral partners and international agencies, through a common agreement on adopting a “Sector Wide Approach (SWAp)” as the modality for the preparation and implementation of this important and comprehensive public financial management reform program.

With the strong support of our international development partners, the RGC has produced a public financial management vision document which will serve as a guide for the stage by stage implementation of a comprehensive and systematic public financial reform program envisions being achieved in 2015. The most important difference of this reform program from other previous programs is that this program was constructed with a clear structure and a realistic action plan developed stage by stage with strategies to build institutional capacity and human resource, including the provision of equipment and other necessary supports as well as appropriate technology.

5.1. Public Financial Management (PFM) Reform

In accord with the NPRS, the RGC has reformulated its public financial management (PFM) improvement and reform strategy. To give clear direction to the strategy, the RGC has adopted as a longer term objective that transformation of the government's PFM to incorporate what are generally accepted as the best international standards. The reform strategy involves transforming the traditional cash-based budget system into one which provides for the proper management of all government assets and resources. This will involve the eventual introduction of generally accepted standards for accrual accounting.

The aim is to install much higher standards of management and accountability in the mobilization of all government current and capital resources and effectiveness and efficiency in the use of resources in their application to the operation of the Government’s NPRS and other priority programs.  The long term objective is to transform the RGC’s Public Financial Management (PFM) system into a system featuring what are generally accepted as the best international standards.

In order to build a sound public finance system, it must be made up of several operational sub-systems.  These operating subsystems are the: (a) accounting and transaction processing systems, (b) budgeting systems, (c) revenue systems, and (d) access systems.  All four sub-systems have to be consistent with each other, and are inter-related. Briefly, these operating subsystems are described as follows:

·        Accounting and transaction processing systems:  Consistent approach to accounting across Government as a whole based initially on accounting for cash payments made within the fiscal year.  Future considerations may be given to possible movement to accounting on an accrual basis relating to of the consumption of resources in a year - staff inputs, goods and services. Empowerment of budget holders to implement transactions, unhindered, in accordance with budget (as revised during the year) Greater reliance on post payment review rather than pre-payment scrutiny.  Separate capture and control of information about commitments entered in to, but not yet liquidated.

·        Budgeting systems: Annual budgets of all budget holders set in context of realistic multi-year estimates published alongside them.  Roll-over of multi-year estimates so that second year in one cycle becomes starting point for the budget year in the next.  Comprehensive in that all significant deployments of public resources, however financed, are captured.  Encompasses programme based analysis of resource deployment and monitoring of the use of resources. Decentralized and convey both authority and responsibility to budget implementers.

·        Resource mobilization systems: (Tax and non tax revenue, external assistance and debt financing) Effective use of revenue raising capacity in Cambodia through balanced approach to use of taxation (direct and indirect), charges to the public and other financing sources available to the public sector (including external assistance and external and domestic borrowing).  Revenue mobilization systems that ensure full compliance with the prevailing laws and regulations (including the Law on Taxation, Customs Law and Law on Investment) and prudent and transparent management of external assistance and debt financing, whilst minimizing cost to the taxpayer and to the Royal Government, and optimizing the level of revenue available for the Royal Government to implement its policies through public expenditure programmes.

·        Access systems: Common access of all those involved to the same accurate and reliable data on a timely basis based on integrated use of modern IT.  Open to scrutiny by all interested parties, inside and outside of Government, to view performance compared to budget based on a clear and transparent data trail. An effective system of both external and internal audit in which the latter supports management to make effective use of resources.

The Royal Government is in the process of developing a monitoring and evaluation sub-system to enable performance of the public financial management system being regularly monitored and assessed. 

Thus the key features of the targeted vision shall be identified with indicators that are consistent with international standards and best practices, which will cover the following aspects:

·        Budget Realism: The budget is realistic and implemented as intended in a predictable manner (e.g. composition of expenditures compared to approved budget, proportion of funds received by service delivery units etc.).

·        Comprehensive, Policy-based Budget: The budget captures all relevant fiscal transactions, and is prepared in an orderly, predictable way with due regard to government policy (e.g. single budget process - calendar and circular - fully coordinating budgeting for investment and recurrent expenditures, budget ceilings informed by government relative spending priorities defined at political level).

·        Fiscal Management: Aggregate fiscal position and risk are monitored and managed (e.g. few or no expenditure arrears, adequate system for management of domestic and foreign debt).

·        Information: Adequate fiscal, revenue and expenditure records and information are produced, maintained and disseminated to meet decision-making, control and management purposes (e.g. budget reports, with classification allowing comparison with budgets, are timely available in government, after the month/ quarter end. Regular, high quality bank reconciliations).

·        Control: Effective control and stewardship is exercised in the use of public funds (e.g. effective internal audit system; public procurement system based on clear, consistent and enforced rules; payroll records and nominal roll linked through computerized system to which MEF has access).

·        Accountability and Transparency: Effective external financial accountability and transparency arrangements are operating (e.g. communities have regular access to information on budgets allocated to and funds received by service delivery units; external audit covers all major public sector entities and conducts a full range of financial audit).

·        Clarity and accountability: Clear legal and institutional framework for functional and spending responsibilities across government levels, and for budget holders’ management accountability (e.g. Program managers have maximum possible flexibility in selection, mobilization and use of resources to achieve program objectives.  Accountability to national assembly and people for use of resources is transferred to line ministries, who are also publicly accountable for program performance).

·        Value for money: in use of public resources (e.g. Decrease in price of items procured regularly by the government).

·        Responsiveness: of fiscal and budget management (e.g. institutionalized mid-year review of budget performance feeding into implementation of second budget year half and preparation of subsequent budget).

·        Professionalism: in the civil service and incentive systems (e.g. build a core group of technical experts).

The reform program will progress in four stages: Stage One: short term action plans including all necessary activities for achieving Platform One, plus activities with long lead times and necessary for later Platforms; Stage Two and Three: Medium term, planned for towards the end of Stage One, when Platform One objectives are within sight; and Stage Four: Long term while getting to achieving the vision.

·        Platform 1 - More credible budget: In the first instance, the Royal Government will strive to achieve a position in which the budget becomes more credible as an instrument of strategic and day to day management of public resources, because it delivers a reliable and predictable resource to individual budget managers.  This entails that the budget reflects all significant public resources and their deployment. It thereby enables steps in subsequent stages to hold budget managers more accountable for the proper, efficient and effective use of resources.

·        Platform 2 – Effective financial accountability: Having removed excuses for non-compliance or inappropriate practices by budget holders, the Royal Government will turn on tightening arrangements for bringing budget holders to account and for rewarding good practice.  This will require initial improvements in internal control and accountability systems at all levels.  It will enable a focus on what is done with resources by providing better data, effective discipline, and greater internal transparency.

·        Platform 3 – The RGC’s policy agenda becomes fully affordable and prioritized: From the base established in previous stages, by which the budget is now a credible instrument for policy implementation, the Royal Government will then focus on developing techniques and capacities for analyzing the budgetary impact of policies and for connecting policy priorities and service targets to budget planning and implementation, thereby assuring that government polices are fully affordable and prioritized.  This will enable greater accountability for program performance. 

·        Platform 4 – RGC managers become fully accountable for program performance: Having reinforced the stability, soundness and policy orientation of budget planning and management practices, the Royal Government will start to hold budget managers accountable and rewarding them for achieving agreed objectives and standards of performance.  Processes of accountability and review for both financial and performance management will be fully integrated, resulting in greater external transparency and more effective feedback from implementation into policy formulation.

Indeed, a comprehensive and systematic design of the Public Financial Management reform program with clear long term vision and step by step strategy plus joint efforts from all stakeholders, we are confident in making positive changes within the short future in order to contribute to the ultimate goals of enhancing growth, employment, equity, and efficiency for the nation and its people.

The PFM Reform Project has the following components:

·        Budget and Treasury Operations Reform: This component will support the modernization of Treasury management to improve budget execution and control, including by assisting the RGC to establish a Financial Management Information System (FMIS). Sub-components include: (i) mapping existing budget process in detail (from budget release to commitment to payment) and developing transition plan to new streamlined processes; (ii) increasing payments to and from Government through the banking system in terms of tax collections and Government payments to civil servants and contractors; (iii) designing and implementing measures to improve budget discipline by limiting accumulation of payment arrears; (iv) technical guidance on quality assessment of FMIS system framework and procedures, with an emphasis on streamlining and improving the transparency of key business processes before computerization commences; (v) technical advice on appropriate policy, system design, and content, taking into account capacity and technology constraints and including  a program of phased roll-out; (vi) IT system software and hardware, including testing and quality assurance; (vii) building sustainable capacity in the Ministry of Economy and Finance (MEF) to operate the FMIS and use the reports that it will generate; and (viii) training and capacity development in line agencies as appropriate to allow use of system generated information. This component would also require working with line ministries, which are at different stages of readiness to implement the reforms.

·        Procurement: This component will support the development of improved arrangements for processing of procurement actions, in order to improve transparency, economy, and efficiency, streamline spending processes, and enable greater fiscal de-concentration. It will also facilitate implementation of the revised procurement procedures resulting from expected improvements in the legislative and regulatory framework for procurement, including use of the procurement manual and harmonized standard bidding documents that are currently under development. Sub-components include: (i) revising procurement processing arrangements in light of new budget transaction processes, (ii) assisting with the drafting of a sovereign procurement law, (iii) decentralizing procurement to line ministries and provinces, and (iv) appropriate capacity building, which will also include training of  procuring entities, contractors, and suppliers for implementing the improved procurement procedures. This component would also require working with line ministries, which are at different stages of readiness to implement the reforms.

·        Tax Administration Reform: This component will support modernization of the Tax Department through capacity development based on institutional and organizational reform. Measures are likely to focus on the headquarters office. As an initial step the project would review the Tax Department’s reform program. Such a review would also provide an opportunity to build greater ownership through staff participation and to consult taxpayers on issues of concern. Attention would be paid to the incentives faced by staff in the institutional and organizational milieux in which they operate. Sub-components include: (i) reform of the organizational structure to a functional structure, (ii) development and implementation of a capacity development program for the Tax Department, and (iii) improved service delivery focusing on enhanced taxpayer registration and taxpayer account management, improved audit and coverage, and enhanced taxpayer services, and (iv) development of mechanisms to improve transparency and accountability, including possibly the establishment of a taxpayer ombudsman function and a private sector oversight board.

·        Merit-based Pay and Employment Initiative (MBPI): An innovative—and necessary—feature of the project will assist the RGC to pilot a civil service reform in the context of the PFMRP. Both the RGC and its DPs acknowledge that addressing the incentive problem, which consists both of the lack of meritocratic management and extremely low pay levels, is a prerequisite for reform and longer term capacity development. The lack of adequate incentives, and the lack of a meritocratic management framework, means that many civil servants do not show up for work, and, if they do, are ill-motivated to carry out their official duties. Previous attempts to reform the PFM system have floundered due to the lack of a mechanism to address the pay and employment problem. The MBPI reflects an agreement between MEF, the Council for Administrative Reform, and DPs to pilot a pay and employment reform in MEF. Core elements of the MBPI include: (i) funding from DPs (on a declining basis) and the RGC (on an increasing basis) for increased remuneration for selected staff; (ii) selection and management of staff for the MBPI based on merit and performance; (iii) payment through the payroll; (iv) parallel work on functional analysis leading to a rightsizing exercise; (v) complementary work on human resource management reform, including setting up an establishment register; and (vi) agreement to phase out salary supplements.

·        Strengthening the Budget Oversight Capacity of the National Assembly: This component would assist the Finance and Banking Committee (FBC), including through a more informed understanding and review of the budget law, to hold the RGC to a higher standard of accountability. Thus far, the FBC has had very limited influence on the budget. This component would assist the FBC to better analyze and monitor the implementation of the budget law, thus playing a greater role in budget decision making and in overseeing the use of public funds. To this end, a capacity development program specifically targeting the FBC would be developed.  Such a program would be tailored to meet the needs of the FBC and its staff members and would concentrate on a set of activities designed to strengthen the Committee's oversight capacity, through local, regional, and international budget-related events and workshops, study tours, and the development of relevant study guides/tools. The program would address such topics as: (i) the National Assembly and the budget cycle, (ii) budget review and oversight, (iii) the role of parliament in measuring the impact of public expenditures, (iv) and transparency and participation in the budget process. This component is not included in the PFMRP, which pertains exclusively to the executive branch of government.

·        Change Management: This component will provide support for education and advocacy about the project, including for extensive consultation with relevant stakeholders in MEF and line ministries, capacity development to design and implement a transparent and participatory change management process, and a communications strategy. Given the sensitivities likely to be roiled with such a significant and important overall of key business practices in MEF and eventually the line ministries, serious attention to a change management strategy will be critical to the project's success.

·        Capacity development: MEF’s Consolidated Action Plan recognizes, at a broad level, the need for a combination of technical and capacity building activities in support of achieving each of the platforms for long-term reform of public financial management. Activities foreshadowed to support achievement of Platform 1 (and later platforms) include broadly-described capacity building, motivational and organization measures. However, much more work needs to be done, especially regarding the activities needed to support Platform 1. There is a risk that capacity development activities get sidelined by complex technical activities. There is also a risk that the Economics and Finance Institute (EFI) is not able to implement the capacity development program. Mitigation measures include: the planned motivational and organizational measures, and rapid movement on both the capacity development plan for Platform 1 and an institutional assessment of EFI.

5.2. Tax Reform Program

To strengthen tax policy and administration, three areas have been identified to be the priority areas for implementing the tax reform namely (i) Change process, (ii) Tax policy, and (iii) Tax administration:

·        Change process includes establishing a formalized and transparent approach to the change process through the use of an Organizational Technology Framework and identifying the essential elements; providing the linkage and balance all the essential elements as they are dependent on each other; establishing the Departmental vision and communicate that vision within and outside the Department; conducting a review of the current Tax Department’s functional roles and responsibilities and provide advice and assistance in the taking of appropriate action to establish formal roles and responsibilities of Headquarters, Regional or Provincial Offices and District Offices, (functional model);

·        Tax policy reform involves identify anomalies in the laws and make recommendations for changes based upon the modernization of tax policy and linked to fiscal direction and policy of the central government with regard to tax regime, tax on profits for the estimated regime, tax on salaries, local taxation, value added tax, turnover tax, excise, and tax policy analysis;

·        Tax administration reform involves (1) improving headquarters’ management capacity; (2) implementing the real regime in the five main regional offices; (3) establishing a solid management information system with appropriate data to meet the needs of the MEF, head office, and the field or district offices; (4) developing an operational procedures and manuals at all level and performance standards at the divisional and individual staff level;(5) establishing of a Large Taxpayer Unit (LTU) and Medium-Taxpayer Unit (MTU) in Phnom Penh to improve administration of the largest taxpayers; (6) establishing a monthly statistical reports; (7) ensuring the real regime covers all large and medium sized business; (8) implementing the real regime in all provinces in the medium term; (9) establishing formal audit manuals and procedures and a modern management information system within the audit operation; (10) developing an audit strategy that provides for a broader coverage of taxpayers; (11) utilizes new selection techniques based on risk analysis; (12) and ensuring information on importations from registered/non-registered taxpayers is received from the Customs Department.

In addition, there are measures to alter and improve the structure of tax and its administration which will also improve revenue performance. The following are the various measures which are in the armoury of the MEF to improve tax performance:

5.2.1. Broaden Tax Base

The first measure to improve revenue is to broaden the tax base. As stated above, taxes in Cambodia are heavily trade oriented. . As the economy develops and the service sector expands and deepens, there will be more activities on which taxes can be levied. Therefore, it is very important to enlarge the tax base to other sectors as the economy expands and diversifies to avoid unduly burdening a particular sector.

5.2.2. Personal Income Tax

This tax has yielded relatively little revenue in Cambodia as the number of individuals subject to this tax (especially at the highest marginal rate) has been small. The rate structure of the personal income tax is the most visible policy instrument available to most governments in developing countries to underscore their commitment to social justice and to gain political support for their policies. Cambodia has adopted a progressive tax so that families with low income are not taxed.

In response to the need to improve equity in taxation, the Department of Taxation will study and recommend to MEF the scope for effects of reducing the threshold of annual profit tax and monthly salary. Correspondingly, the Department will enhance its efforts to collect strictly mandated salary taxes from schools, NGOs, and Employees of International Institutions.

5.2.3. Corporate Income Tax

Tax policy issues relating to the corporate income tax are numerous and complex, but particularly relevant for developing countries are the issues of multiple rates based on sectoral differentiation and the incoherent design of the depreciation system. Therefore the Ministry of Economy and Finance will simplify the corporate income tax by unifying multiple corporate income tax rates.

Moreover, allowable depreciation of physical assets for tax purposes is an important structural element in determining the cost of capital and the profitability of investment. Understanding that restructuring the depreciation systems is important for the revenue performance, the Tax Department will reform the depreciation allowance as follows:

  • Assets will be classified into three or four categories and only one uniform depreciation rate will be assigned to each category.
  • Depreciation rates will generally be set higher than the actual physical lives of the underlying assets to compensate for the lack of a comprehensive inflation-compensating mechanism as in most tax systems.
  • Depreciation will be computed using the declining-balance method of rather than the straight-line method, simplifying the administration of the system. The declining-balance method allows the pooling of all assets in the same asset category and automatically accounts for capital gains and losses from asset disposals, thus substantially simplifying bookkeeping requirements.

5.2.4. Value-Added Tax (VAT)

Although the performance of the VAT has been satisfactory there are several concerns that need to be addressed in the near term, such as the improvement of VAT registration, VAT refund procedures, compliance with the VAT, and the VAT threshold. Collection of indirect taxes through VAT could be improved substantially by streamlining tax exemptions and incentives. The VAT is considered as a less regressive tax instrument than the previous consumption (turnover) tax.

In response to these VAT issues, the Ministry of Economy and Finance will take the following actions:

a)     The VAT threshold[1] will be reviewed, especially relative to the coverage of the real regime, so that the base of VAT taxpayers is defined in terms of the ownership structure of businesses.
b)    The VAT Sub-Decree on electricity and the amendment to the VAT Sub-Decree for reducing taxpayers threshold in order to increase taxpayers in self assessment system will be reviewed and modified if necessary to ensure that it is consistent with mitigating the impact of the tax on low-income households.
c)     The VAT refund system will be reviewed and modified to reduce its complexity and increase its ease of use by applicants.

5.2.5. Tax Incentives under the Law on Investment

The provisions under the Law on Investment regarding profit tax and customs duty exemptions severely limit the scope of the tax base and the scope of dutiable imports in Cambodia.

While granting tax incentives to promote investment is common in most countries evidence suggests that their effectiveness in attracting incremental investments—above the level that would have been reached had no incentives been granted—is often dubious. Those exemptions that do not clearly and unambiguously increase investment should be deleted. Tax incentives, such as exempting raw materials and capital goods from the VAT, are prone to abuse and are of doubtful effectiveness in increasing investment. Furthermore, collection of the VAT may not improve with elimination of exemptions, if exemptions removed were at the intermediate stage of production. Exempting raw materials and capital goods used to produce exports, from import tariffs is somewhat more justifiable as the exemption would level the playing field for Cambodian exports in the international markets. Still, the difficulty with this exemption lies, of course, in ensuring that the exempted purchases will in fact be used as intended by the incentive. Establishing export production zones whose perimeters are secured by customs controls is also a useful, though not entirely foolproof, remedy for this abuse.

Tax incentives can be justified if they address some form of market failure, most notably those involving externalities (economic consequences beyond the specific beneficiary of the tax incentive). For example, incentives targeted to promote high-technology industries that promise to confer significant positive externalities through enhanced worker skills or lowering input costs on the rest of the economy are usually justifiable. By far the most compelling case for granting targeted incentives is for meeting regional development needs of these countries. Nevertheless, not all incentives are equally suited for achieving such objectives and some are less cost-effective than others. Frequently, the most prevalent forms of incentives found in developing countries tend to be the least meritorious.

The cost-effectiveness of providing tax incentives to promote investment is generally questionable. Not all tax incentives are equally effective, and some are more justifiable and cost-effective than others in terms of their demonstrable impact on investment. The best strategy for sustained investment promotion comprises a few simple but tested elements that are worth highlighting:

·        Provide a stable and transparent legal and regulatory framework;
·        Put in place a tax system in line with international norms;
·        Encourage balanced regional development;
·        Implement a simple but comprehensive system of accelerated depreciation;
·        Limit investment allowances or tax credits;
·        Avoid tax holidays and investment subsidies.

As a general rule, indirect tax incentives should be avoided, and discretion in granting incentives should be minimized. Reduction of tax exemptions is also very important as a measure to enlarge the very narrow tax base, and to reduce the current dependency on a few number of companies. It is desirable to unify all exemptions in a single law covering all fiscal incentives. Government will adopt the above approaches in promoting investments.

The following Supporting Revenue Policy and Administration Measures will be implemented to address the weaknesses in the taxation system:

1.     Improving Head Quarter’s management capacity;
2.     Consolidating the “real regime” at the provincial office level;
3.     Establishing a solid management information system with appropriate data to meet the needs of the MEF, head office and district offices;
4.     Developing operational procedures and manuals at all levels and performance standards at the divisional (and later individual) staff level;
5.     Establishing a system of monthly statistical reports;
6.     Ensuring that the “real regime” covers all large and medium-size businesses.
7.     Enforce the collection of gambling taxes;
8.     Expand taxation on unused land;
9.     Expand and strengthen the collection of excise tax;
10.                        Prepare Prakas to determine definitions and components for tax base on excise of cigarettes, beer, and telephones--including inspection of cigarette stamp affixing and market research of the effectiveness of the links to payment of excise tax;
11.                        Amend Article 7 on Law on Taxation and prepare the Prakas on Capital Gain Tax;
12.                        Conduct research and prepare recommendation to MEF for amendments to gas and natural resources tax law;
13.                        Strengthen forecasting and tax revenue analysis; due to complexity of analysis and the lack of time series data, it is important to provide caveats about the dependability and stability of such forecasts;[2]
14.                        Prepare and study tax treaty on DTA and attendace negotiate with other countries
15.                        Prepare Sub-Decree on tax arbitration;
16.                        Expand tax collection payments through the banking system by medium-income taxpayers in both provinces and cities outside Phnom Penh;
17.                        Implement and strengthen the accommodation tax;
18.                        Strengthen the self-assessment system in provinces and cities outside Phnom Penh;
19.                        Improve the audit program and prepare a comprehensive manual comprising the 54 circulars, bringing the new model statement to an operational level;
20.                        Strengthen the use of taxpayer invoices as indexed by the Census of Taxpayers at province and cities outside Phnom Penh;
21.                        Implement tax collection enforcement measures to be applied to tax delinquents debtors/delinquents, creating tax-debtor classes based on risk, income and debt levels;
22.                        Prepare models and improve rules for addressing administrative protests, policies, strategies, guideline circulars so that dealing with them is systematized and made transparent;
23.                        Prepare, maintain, control and strenthen network system management in using IT system at tax branches in both in Phnom Penh and cities outside Phnom Penh;
24.                        Prepare data system to support taxpayer services, including return processing, audit, strategic planning, personnel, training, tax debt, inquiry and cross-checking and transportation;
25.                        Design and implement a Tax Department webpage with a new server supporting a network (Web server, file server, application server, back-up server) and protection system;
26.                        Establish medium-income tax office in Phnom Penh and tax divisions at Khan Kep and Khan Damnak Changher (Kep city), Sampoeu Lun District, Phnom Prek District, Kamreang District and Ratanak Mundul (Battam Bang Province);
27.                        Prepare and arrange training programs for staff, both in-country and abroad;
28.                        Prepare all equipments for new department building with its library, create new divisions and tax branches in provinces and cities outside Phnom Penh;
29.                        Improve the incentive system for tax officers based on performance;
30.                        Increase tax on luxury cars and transportation cars;
31.                        Expand the Real Regime tax system to other provinces;[3]
32.                        Strengthen the enforcement and collection of tax in all cities and provinces by providing proper notice, and using deterrents against tax evaders such as blocking the accounts in banks, stopping the import-export documents, and other appropriate measures;
33.                        Strengthen the cross check of tax payer information with other departments, such Customs Department, CDC and others.
34.                        Enforce the flow of tax payments into the TSA (Treasury Single Account) at the National Bank of Cambodia.

5.3. Customs Reform

In spite of declining tariff rates brought about by trade liberalization, revenue mobilization and control functions of customs still remain substantial, for several reasons: (i) the fiscal dependency on customs revenues in light of difficulty in broadening the tax bases; and (ii) imports constitute a major tax base for levying VAT. Moreover, customs continues to be responsible for effective and efficient border management to facilitate trade. Customs administration takes on a larger role in ensuring national security and law enforcement.

Improving customs administration, therefore, is crucial for raising revenues, providing domestic producers with protection, providing supply chain security, facilitating trade, preventing importation of prohibited or unsafe imports, and combating the trade of narcotics through the implementation of laws and regulations that are in line with WTO commitments.

For customs administration to improved, the following reform measures have been implemented to underpin the future shape and role of customs:

5.3.1. The New Law of Customs

In its reform and modernization plan, the Customs and Excise Department (CED) focuses on development and implementation of a modern Law on Customs and concerned regulations that are the foundation for customs operations to meet the international standard and practices. The new law of Customs has been promulgated by the king on 20th July 2007. To implement this new law, the supporting regulations (37) will be issued soon. The Law and its supporting regulations are compliant with the international standards and best practices. The Manual on Law on Customs and Its Related Regulations is being prepared and will be published and distributed.

5.3.2. Customs Valuation

As part of its WTO accession, the RGC requested to delay full implementation of the provisions of the WTO Valuation Agreement for up to five years (reference Article 20 of the Valuation Agreement) as elaborated in the transition plan (Table 7 of Working Party Report). This transition period was intended to allow the CEO time to develop its internal capacity and to ensure traders were ready for the new system in order to ensure revenue is protected.

The implementation of the WTO Valuation Agreement goes side by side with the reform and modernization of the CED. In preparation for the implementation of the WTO valuation agreement, progress has been made in respect of the following:

·        The Law on Customs (LOC) has been promulgated (20 July 2007), and the CEO is finalizing implementing regulations (there are 37 regulations to be prepared in accordance with the provisions of the LOC);

·        One of the regulations deals with customs valuation. In preparing this particular regulation, provisions of the Agreement on the Implementation of Article VII of GATT 1994 have been taken into account (definitions, valuation methods etc.) As such, the Cambodian customs valuation regulation is fully consistent with WTO rules and concept;

·        Imports of large multinational and local companies with well-established compliance records hence low-risk and imports by investment companies and other duty exempt entities, are valued using the WTO methods. These importers would be required to provide CED with information on the price actually paid, freight, insurance changes, and to agree to participate in Post-Clearance Audit program and maintain and make available company records;

·        Cambodia still uses Pre-shipment Inspection service (PSI). The PSI provider (BIVAC) is obliged to follow Cambodia commitments under WTO, particularly on customs valuation. The PSI contract includes a requirement for an exit strategy under which BIV AC is committed to provide the CEO with technical assistance; training and IT support to enable the CEO to assume its full responsibilities at the conclusion of the contract. To date BIV AC has assisted the CEO introduce the valuation reference database (VeriVALUE), including provision of the computer hardware and software, and direct access to the database through the local BIV AC office.

5.3.3.  Decentralization

To gradually implement WTO Valuation Agreement, the CED has decentralization policy on Customs Valuation. The decentralization process of customs valuation is being carried out side by side both manual system and with the implementation of customs automation project --ASYCUDA. Our strategies are as follows:

·        WTO Valuation Agreement has been absorbed approximately 80% of the total duty paid imports valued by PSI company (BIVAC);

·        Decentralization process of the Customs Valuation from the HQs (Customs Technique Office -CTO) to Customs Check-points will be done step by step, and would be fully implemented in Sihanoukville port at the same time as ASYCUDA system is operational;

·        Valuation Officers from within the CTO and from other customs offices have been selected and trained as the specialized customs valuation officers;

·        From 1st January 2008, a number of the above specialized customs valuation officers will be sent to work at SHV port and some other front line checkpoints for the purpose of facilitating a smooth transition from current system to WTO system.

5.3.4. Risk Management

Risk Management been set in the 2003-2008 Plan of Action and Modernization of Customs and Excise Department (CED) to enhance its revenue collection, to expedite trade, to improve control procedure and to strengthen enforcement activities through risk based targeting. It is a fourth component of the WCO framework of standard's objectives that all members shall implement it effectively and Cambodia is a member of WCO. It has been specified in Chapter 6 and Standard 6.4 the Revised Kyoto convention.
Progress achievement of Risk Management:

·        The Sub-Decree No 21 ANK. BK on Facilitation of Trade through Risk Management was signed on 01 March 2006. Its guidelines were in place;

·        The Risk Management Steering Group was created and consisted of 15 members of Customs officials. They have been assigned to work with JICA exports to develop the Risk Management model;

·        The draft templates of the inter-agency agreement on Risk Management are available for signature if there is no further discussion or debate. They are written by experts from Aus-aid through and inter-agency technical seminar held on 6-7 Feb 2007 at CED headquarter;

·        The Office of Risk Management and Audit in CED has been established by a Prakas No. 607 MEF/CED by the Ministry of Economy and Finance. The assignment of staff has been finalizing;

·        The Traders' Credibility Management System (TCMS) has been established and installed under the technical assistance from JICA;

·        The initial 28 key indicators have been developed as general criteria to assess each trader's compliance to the relevant laws and regulations. The preliminary scoring and level of risk including Standard Criteria for the model has also been established. This will need to be included in a Ministerial Prakas as a legal ground for implementation.

·        Survey of selected companies of about 1700 has been done by RMA, Control, Export and PP municipality Customs Offices. Those 28 risk indicators have been keyed into TCMS based on the surveyed results, import/export statistics, and source of VAT-TIN CD Package from the Tax Department. Out of those 1700 surveyed companies, about 300 were not found, and other 200 are located in other provinces;

·        JICA has provided 2 overseaS training for the Customs Risk Management Steering Group. In addition JICA also provided 4 local workshops on Risk Management for Customs Officials. Aus-aid earlier also provided workshop and training courses on Risk Management for customs officials and ministries officers about 6 times;

·        Nine selectivity Criteria namely Rank of Trader, New Importers, Unknown Importers, New Items, GSP Applicable Goods, High Customs Duty Amount, High Customs Duty Rate, High Customs Value, and Country of Origin have been developed. Its random ratio has also been established as basis for calculation in the ASYCUDA Selectivity Module;

·        Information exchange b/w the RMA Office and ASYCUDA has been established. It includes Memorandum of Understanding, Type/Format/and Content of written correspondence, and time basis of the information exchange. Method of how to come up to the Selectivity Decision from the given selectivity criteria has also been agreed;

·        Data on the 9 Selectivity Criteria has been delivered to ASYCUDA Team. The data were built based on the results of TCMS, trade statistics, IL list from ASEAN Department, and other available sources;

·        Since Tariff Book 2007 version was input into ASYCUDA, some selectivity criteria especially those relating to HS Codes are not compatible with the system because they were extracted from import/export statistics of previous years that use tariff 2004 version;

·        The Inter-Ministerial Committee on Risk Management was established by which consists of 10 sr. office. Its 1st meeting of Inter-Ministerial Committee on Risk Management was conducted on 05 Feb 2007 at CED headquarter to speed up the prohibited / restricted list of high risk goods and solve any other technical issues;

·        The draft templates of the inter-agency agreement on Risk Management are available for signature if there is no further discussion or debate. They are written by experts from Aus-aid through and inter-agency technical seminar held on 6-7 Feb 2007 at CED headquarter;

·        Regarding the lists mentioned, CED sent request No 1021 CED dated on 10 November 2006 to all ministries concerned as specified by the Sub-decree No 21 to send prohibited and restricted lists of goods to CED. CED received some lists from Ministry of Industry, Mine, and Energy (MIME), by Ministry of Agriculture, Forestry and Fishery (MAFF), Ministry of Commerce (CAMCONTROL), Ministry of Health (MOH), Council for the Development of Cambodia (CDC)/special Economic Zone, and others. The consolidation and coding have been made. As consequence, it produced about 3,000 lines in tariffs headings/sub-headings. There is too large component that should be reviewed;

·        During the meeting of the Inter-Ministerial Committee on Risk Management on 18, 19, and 26 Oct 2007, the draft of Prohibited and Restricted Goods have been finalized and agreed to bring its total tariff lines to 1537. The meeting also decided on authority of each concern agencies on every product of the list;

·        An annex to the Prohibited and Restricted List has been developed to explain some prohibited/restricted items that cannot be included in the list due to some technical difficulties of the customs tariff. The Annex also explains the "Treatment Code" of each product and some other technical issues.

5.3.5. Customs Brokers

The introduction of Interim Customs Broker into customs clearance operation was advised by the MEF in a letter N° 2664 dated 25 May 2007:

·        Initial conditions for Interim Customs Broker have been developed to set qualifications and criteria of any legal person or individual to become an authorized Declarant/Interim Customs Broker;

·        A working group consisted of 5 members has been established to be responsible for the management of customs brokers. This unit is under the direct guidance of the Risk Management and Audit Office;

·        The announcement on the new system of Customs Broker has been publicized and so far there are more than 100 companies applying for interim customs broker license;

·        To ensure the sound process of clearance of goods, non customs brokers can also clear goods from customs (as existing practice) even after the Customs Broker System coming into effect. Non customs brokers will end at any appropriate time.

5.3.6. Single Administrative Document-SAD

Prakas on SAD is one of the Prakas under the Law on Customs. This Prakas has been finalized and ready for approval signature. It is expected that the Minister of Economy and Finance will sign it next month:

·        The format of the SAD (UN-Layout key, WCO data model consistent), its Explanatory Notes and General Declaration Processing Path have been finalized and are Annexes to the Prakas on SAD;

·        Training courses on SAD have been given to both customs officers and private sector such as freight forwarders and interim customs brokers;

·        It is planned that manual SAD will be put into use from 151 January 2008, \I and the electronic SAD will probably be started from 2nd quarter of 2008.

5.3.7. ASYCUDA

·        Finalized some technical requirements for pilot site such as Reference Tables, Procedures for Decentralized Exemption and Valuation Management;

·        The new Cambodia Customs Tariff 2007 which is consistent with AHTN 2007 was put into use since 151 July 2007;

·        The Prototype Version 1.0 was endorsed in May 2007 at the end of phase 1;

·        Training courses on SAD and AHTN 2007 have been delivered to both customs officers and private sector during the second phase which started since early June 2007;

·        Training for the National Project Team (NPT) members has been organized;

·        Translation of ASYCUDA World into Khmer by NPT members;

·        Sihanoukville Port refurbishment has been completed;

·        The procurement of pilot site computer equipments and communication are being processed;

·        The mechanism of information exchanges between ASYCUDA and Risk Management Office has been established.

5.4. Fiscal Performance

The Ministry of Economy and Finance (MEF), together with its development partners, has established a best practice performance management framework for the Public Financial Management Reform Program (PFM). The PFM reform has yielded major achievements in its three years of implementation, 2005-2007.

Major reforms measures commenced implementation in 2007 included: streamlining of budget execution procedures, the introduction of program budgeting, and adoption of a new chart of accounts. These follow on significant reforms in 2005 and 2006: customs and tax revenues collected through the banking system; Treasury payments to suppliers by check instead of cash; elimination of the stock of old expenditure arrears; streamlined procurement process; and strengthening internal audit departments in the line ministries.

As a result of the PFM reform, fiscal consolidation continued to progress in 2007. Revenue collection improved substantially while expenditure was tightly managed, as outlined below.

Table 5.4.1. Budget Execution in 2006-2007
(in million US dollars)

2006
%GDP
2007
%GDP
Change
Domestic revenue
794.3
10.92%
968.7
11.30%
22.0%
Current revenue
702.3
9.65%
942.3
10.99%
34.2%
-Tax revenue
553.4
7.61%
754.9
8.81%
36.4%
·        Tax Dept
187.2
2.57%
261.0
3.05%
39.4%
·        Customs Dept
366.2
5.03%
493.6
5.76%
34.8%
-Non tax revenue
148.9
2.05%
187.4
2.19%
25.9%
Capital revenue
92.0
1.26%
26.4
0.31%
-71.3%
Total expenditure
994.0
13.66%
1,168.7
13.64%
17.6%
-Current expenditure
576.8
7.93%
741.4
8.65%
28.6%
-Capital expenditure
417.3
5.74%
427.2
4.98%
2.4%

5.4.1. Revenues

Figure 5.4.1. Government Revenue Collection

Domestic revenue increased by 22 per cent from US$794 million in 2006 to US$969 million in 2007 (11.3 per cent of GDP). This increase was mainly due to the growth in tax revenue, which rose from US$553 million in 2006 to US$755 million in 2007, and the improved collection of non-tax revenue, which increased from US$149 million in 2006 to US$187 million in 2007.

During the last two years of reform, revenue collected by the Tax Department increased by 38 per cent (US$187 million) and 39 per cent (US$261 million) respectively in 2006 and 2007. The revenue collected by the Customs and Excise Department (CED) increased respectively by 11 per cent (US$366 million) and 35 percent (US$494 million). Non-tax revenue increased by 26 per cent from US$149 million in 2006 to US$187 million in 2007.

5.4.2. Expenditure

Rising incomes and gradual improvements in service delivery have started to result in improved human development indicators. In many areas Cambodia’s human development indicators are lagging other countries in the region.

However, the health and education ministries have progressed further than most in developing sector-wide strategies; aligning policy, planning, budgeting and monitoring and evaluation processes toward these strategies; and gradually reorienting priorities in a pro-poor direction. These fundamental improvements in core systems are starting to result in improved outcomes.

Increases in social spending in recent years seem to have resulted in positive trends in education and health outcomes. Development of sector strategies and matching systems for planning, budgeting and M&E have provided a framework within which investments in physical infrastructure (schools and clinics) and increasing numbers and to some degree quality of front-line service delivery staff (teachers, doctors and nurses) have started to shift a number of human development indicators upward. Primary enrollment has increased significantly. Net primary enrollment rates improved and net lower secondary enrollment rates also increased. Similarly in health, there has been remarkable success in controlling and then reducing the spread of HIV and apparent significant decline in infant and under-five mortality rates.



Figure 5.4.2. Government Expenditure

The RGC has committed toward increasing expenditure in the following priority areas: roads, irrigation, agriculture productivity, education, and health. Revenue increased gradually to reach 11.5 percent of GDP in 2007, opening up fiscal space for higher expenditures in agriculture, irrigation, roads, and energy, as well as growth in social sector spending. The Government has indicated its intention to significantly increase spending on rural infrastructure, and is beginning by allocating a large share of the IMF Medium Term Debt Relief Initiative (MDRI) funds (US$ 33 million) to fund small rural irrigation projects in eastern provinces from 2006-2008.

Total expenditure has more than tripled during the last decade. Total expenditure increased by 18 per cent from US$994 million in 2006 to US$1,169 million in 2007.

5.4.2.1. Current expenditure

Current expenditure increased from US$577 million (7.93 per cent of GDP) in 2006 to US$741 million (8.66 per cent of GDP) in 2007. The payroll accounted for 34 per cent of current expenditure (2.8 per cent of GDP).

Budget execution has very much been improved in 2007, due to the implementation of the PFM reform program, reflecting improvement in budget disbursement and good budget preparation.

5.4.2.2. Capital expenditure

Capital expenditure is divided into two components: locally financed expenditure, i.e. financed by domestic revenue and externally financed capital expenditure, i.e. expenditure financed by bilateral and multilateral development partners in the form of grants and concessional loans.

Capital expenditure executed through the National Treasury increased from US$417 million (5.74 per cent of GDP) in 2006 to US$427 million (4.98 per cent of GDP). Externally financed capital expenditure amounted to around US$280 million (3.5 per cent of GDP). The externally financed capital expenditure is incorporated ex post into the budget. It is disbursed directly by the development partners.

Table 5.4.2. Government capital expenditure by types
(in billion Riels)

Capital
Expenditure
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007

Road & bridges
124.2
118.4
255.8
112.5
33.5
57.5
60.2
51.2

Irrigation
-
-
-
1.4
5.3
18
38.0
51.8

Others
239.2
221.6
98.4
132.9
15.5
6.8
8.5
16.0

Total commitment
363.4
340.0
354.2
246.8
59.3
82.3
106.7
119.1

Total disbursement
217.8
201.6
232.9
204.8
145.1
148.1
194.6


The capital spending concentrated on only three ministries: the Ministry of Public Works and Transport, the Ministry of Water Resources and Meteorology and the Ministry of Rural Development.

The current budget surplus increased from 1.8 per cent of GDP in 2006 to 2.34 per cent of GDP, due to drastic increase in revenue and restrained budget expenditure. The overall budget deficit declined to around 1.5 per cent of GDP. The overall budget deficit was financed by concessionary loans and grants provided by Cambodia’s development partners. The fiscal strategy of Cambodia does not allow domestic financing of the fiscal deficit.

5.4.2.3. Expenditure by sectors
5.4.2.3.1. Education Spending

During the last decade, starting from 1998 to 2007, spending on education has increased more than five times in nominal terms, from 102 billion to 546 billion CRs ($134 million) respectively.

Starting from a low base, the Cambodian education system has made some impressive gains. Estimated net enrolment rates at the primary level are up significantly from 65% in 2000 to 76% in 2004 (CSES). Lower Secondary (grades 7-9) net enrollment has more than doubled since 1997, increasing from 7.6% to 16.4%.

Figure 5.4.3. Education Spending

Advances in important indicators such as literacy, repetition rates and years of schooling for younger age cohorts are further positive signs that the rebuilding of the national education system is taking root. Progress has also tended to be pro-poor. While socioeconomic, rural and gender gaps in educational attainment exist, these gaps have generally been reduced significantly in recent years, particularly at the primary level.

5.4.2.3.2. Health Spending

During the last decade, health spending rose from more than sevenfolds from 44 billion CRs in 1998 to 337 billion CRs ($82 million) in 2007.

Recently released data suggests progress on a number of health indicators, reflecting rising average levels of consumption and falling poverty rates recorded last year from the household living standards survey. Findings from the 2005 Cambodia Demographic and Health Survey (CDHS) suggest significant progress on a number of output and outcome measures relative to the previous (2000) CDHS. Health service delivery has improved in a number of critical respects (notably rates of childhood immunization and the percentage of births attended by a trained professional). Health practices are also changing, with a dramatic rise in exclusive breastfeeding of children aged under six months.



Figure 5.4.4. Health Spending

These improvements in service delivery and utilization are feeding through into a number of health outcomes, with falling fertility rates, better (though still extremely poor) childhood nutrition, and significant improvements in childhood survival (with infant mortality rates falling from 95 to 65 per 100,000 live births, and under-five mortality falling from 124 to 83). Maternal mortality (per 100,000 live births) has also decreased, from over 437 in 2000 to 343 in 2005. While births at home are slowly giving ways to births at a facility (up from 32% to 44%), progress is starting from an extremely low base, and there is a long way to go. Although Cambodia has still the highest prevalence of HIV/AIDS in the region, it has been successful in arresting and reversing the growth of epidemic (the estimated prevalence rate for the percentage of adults aged 15-49 years fell from 3.0 in 1997 to 1.9 in 2003). Similarly, the TB epidemic has shown a declining trend.

5.4.2.3.3. Spending on Road Infrastructure

The Government’s Rectangular Strategy places great importance on the rehabilitation of the country’s existing infrastructure and the construction of new infrastructure assets to meet the demand of its growing economy. The road sector continues to be a high priority.






Figure 5.4.5. Infrastructure Spending

Research found out that decreasing the distance from the village due to good road by one kilometer will enhance productivity by about 30 thousand Riel per hectare. Land with access to irrigation facilities during the dry season has 15 percent greater rental value and 10 percent higher sale value than land without irrigation. From 2000-2006 the disbursement for infrastructure and its maintenance amounted to about 1,400 billion riels or US$350 million.

In addition the RGC has scaled up maintenance expenditures on its road network. Maintenance spending has been quite low compared to needs, resulting in a deterioration of the capital stock beyond normal depreciation. The RGC has also stressed the need to continue to expand funding for health and education, and would allocate PRGO funds toward those sectors.

Figure 5.4.6. Road Fund
 















5.4.2.3.4. Spending on the Agriculture Sector

Agricultural performance is volatile and yields are strongly correlated with weather conditions. The growth rate of agriculture averaged 3.3% per annum during 1994 -2004. The average rice yield has increased gradually every year from 1.5 tons per ha in 1993 to about 2.5 tons per ha in 2005.

Figure 5.4.7. Agriculture Spending

The use of  high-yielding seeds supplied by the fledgling seed companies, improved disease and pest control, good weather conditions, the initiatives of the government to provide irrigation facilities for dry paddy farming and the increasing popularity of the rice intensification scheme (RIS) have been the main reasons for this performance.  However, in absolute terms productivity is low and far behind other major agricultural producers and exporters in the region. There is high potential for significant increase in agricultural incomes through effectively directed investment, and proactive and progressive policies learning from the experiences of neighboring countries.

Current spending on agriculture (Ministry of Agriculture, Forestry and Fisheries, the Ministry of Rural Development and the Ministry of Water Resources and Meteorology) has doubled from 52.7 billion Riels in 2001 to 118.6 billion Riels in 2007. This spending has tripled since 2000. However, this figure does not include capital spending, which was mainly for the construction of rural roads and irrigation facilities.

Total spending on agricultural sector (both current and capital expenditure) increased by more than 10 folds during the last decade from 18.6 billion riels in 1997 to 200 billion riels (or US$50 million) in 2007.

Government investment in irrigation increased by annual average of 2% during 2003-2006 and reached about US$10 million in 2006. Irrigation investment is not attractive due to its low financial returns even though economic returns may be higher. From social perspective irrigation investment would not benefit much the landless poor, households which are nearly landless and farmers practicing rain-fed framing or located in the tail end of the water distribution systems. However, commercially oriented farmers might benefit from crop diversification made possible by assured irrigation.

Figure 5.6.8. Irrigation Expenditure












A recent sample survey found that less than 20% of the irrigation systems had a strong organization for water management and maintenance, which resulted in substantial capacity under utilization. The survey concluded that pumping stations are more efficient in delivering irrigation in Cambodia. The potential conflicts between upstream and downstream users of water in gravity-fed irrigation systems are avoided in the pumping-based irrigation systems. Irrigation using mobile pumping sets is becoming increasingly popular in Cambodia for saving the rice crop from drought.

High yielding seeds and correctly applied fertilizers and pesticides in combination with carefully managed irrigation increase crop yields and financial returns. Cambodian farmers, particularly those practicing subsistence agriculture, tend to use their own seeds despite the poor germination rate. Even though farmers pay for the high quality seeds supplied by the seed producing firms, the crop yields triple with their use.

6. Merit Based Pay Initiative

However, the fundamental underlying impediments to further improvement in service delivery and outcomes are inadequate systems for managing public finances and public sector human resources. The second fundamental and related cross-cutting weakness that holds back improvements in service delivery is public sector human resource management, and particularly the inadequate level of remuneration for civil servants. The salary of public sector employees at all levels—including those (such as teachers and health center staff) who are directly responsible for the delivery of basic services to the population—is not enough to live on, resulting in absenteeism, the levying of additional, informal fees which bias against the poor, and low job motivation.

To address the above problem, under the PFM reform, the MEF piloted since June 2005 a Merit-Based Pay Initiative (MBPI), which helps to identify approaches to systematically raise salaries in such a way as to reward ability and job performance. Since then, the key officials of the Ministry of Economy and Finance responsible for PFM reform program, especially departmental action plan have benefited the MBPI as incentives in addition to their basic government salary.

To systematically address all concerns and ensure the effectiveness and efficiency of the implementation of MBPI, the MEF has prepared a second-phased MBPI implementation strategy by proposing to upgrade the MBPI Sub-committee with the following responsibilities: 

(i)                Supervise civil service reform in MEF including the establishment control and functional analysis;

(ii)             Provide a framework for regular staff assessment to ensure that the promotion of officials within the MEF is based on merits;

(iii)           The Sub-committee in close cooperation with the Department of Personnel and the reform committee secretariat (RCS) should carry out the following tasks: conduct annual review of officials including those under MBPI, and other capable officials in order to reassess or recruit new officials for MBPI and for the MEF;

(iv)           Supervise departments of MEF to prepare and regularly review its target and annual action plan. The review is conducted through the guidelines prepared by the RCS

7.       Conclusion

According to the based-line scenario, the Cambodian economy is expected to grow at a somewhat lower rate of about 8-9 percent per annum over the next several years, but growth will likely accelerate again thereafter when oil production commences in 2010 or 2011. A  non-trivial portion of growth over the past decade was due to the post-conflict ‘catch up’ phenomenon, which will likely level off over the next few years. As Cambodia confronts stiffer competition from globalization (e.g., Vietnam’s entry into WTO), the high cost of doing business—characterized principally high energy and transport costs—will also become binding constraints. As a result of these effects, growth in the driving sectors will likely become less buoyant. The economy will likely continue to be led by tourism, the garment industry, and construction, with agriculture providing periodic but volatile growth spurts.

Beyond the near term, however, Cambodia will need to diversify its sources of growth to sustain 7.0 percent or higher annual non-oil growth rates. As private sector development reforms take root, non-garment sectors should increasingly contribute to growth. Agriculture is also expected to improve its performance when reforms, including those pertaining to land management, are implemented and when investment in infrastructure increases. The external current account deficit is projected to decline in the medium term. Inflation is targeted to fall to about 3 percent in the medium term program.

The continuation of growth supporting policies will be crucial for sustaining high growth rates. The main policy thrusts would include diversification of the economy by encouraging investments in new manufacturing activities, supporting agriculture and agro-business and developing physical, social and economic infrastructure, particularly the expansion of new tourism sites, which will have major multiplier effects on the rest of the economy.

Acceleration of rural economic growth will have a tangible impact on poverty reduction.  A key aspect of Cambodia’s rural development strategy is channeling more public investment to irrigation and increasing the budget allocation for agriculture extension services. The rural focus of public expenditure should continue if agriculture is to sustain its performance in the medium term.

Cambodia can not afford to rest on its laurels. It will continue to emphasize sound macroeconomic management, particularly a prudent approach to monetary and fiscal policies and an outward looking growth strategy based on gaining competitiveness in international markets. Improving the quality of public institutions and the public investment program through the vigorous implementation of the Public Financial Management Program and governance reforms such as improvement of the judicial system are other areas of priority in the government’s policy agenda. Cambodia strongly supports globalization and the ASEAN. The way forward for Cambodia is integrate itself even more strongly with the international economy. It is seeking more partners in development who will join hands with her to pull the country out of poverty and underdevelopment.

Looking to the future, to sustain the improvements made over the last decade, we need to undertake further measures to reduce and prevent these kinds of structural inequalities to take root. The Royal Government of Cambodia has been long aware of the situation as reflected in the priorities of its Rectangular Strategy for Growth, Equity, Employment and Poverty Reduction, and sought to have a strong strategy to rectify this trend, by emphasizing the development of rural economies where 85% of people live. The government is committing itself to the enhancement and better implementation of pro-poor growth policies. In this connection I would like to share some of my views to address inequality issues and help to achieve further growth that is shared well among all Cambodians:

a)     Increase connectivity between rural and urban areas. Inequality rises as the prosperity in cities appears to have limited spill-over effects on the rural areas suggesting weak rural-urban linkage and poor connectivity between rural and urban sectors. Moreover the high positive correlation between poverty incidence and remoteness strongly implies that the poor in remote rural areas have inadequate access to basic infrastructure and public services such as roads, education, health facilities and urban markets.

b)    Policy shift aiming at accelerating of rural economic growth which will have a tangible impact on inequality and poverty reduction is under the government strong focus at the present. A key aspect of Cambodia’s rural development strategy is channeling more public investment for further development of rural infrastructure and increasing the budget allocation to improve the quality of public services in the countryside.

c)     Reduce the vulnerability of becoming poor – there is a high risk of non-poor to fall below the poverty line, in particular in rural areas, which due to poor health and illness they may be forced to sell their assets, including land during times of health distress and calamities. This may quickly bring those who are extremely vulnerable to crises below the poverty line. Thus, the government will look at the possibility to establish social health insurance and safety nets, in particularly for those who are the most vulnerable.

d)    Provide secure land tenure – Land is the basis of wealth, especially in an agricultural society such as Cambodia: patterns of land ownership will have a very great influence on whether Cambodia follows a path of shared growth in the future, or sees a growing gap between rich and poor. Hence, the authorities will exert further efforts to secure land tenure through expediting and extending titling to remoter, poorer areas where land disputes are more serious and find ways to provide poor landless families with access to unused land.

e)     Broaden the base of economic growth. The significant economic dependence on the garment industry poses a high risk, which may result in job losses and could be socially disruptive since garment workers transfer a substantial part of their wages to their families in rural areas to supplement farm-based incomes. Phasing out of safeguard restrictions on textiles will be destabilizing as the “safeguarded” exports constituted 80% of Cambodia’s total garment exports and could be severely affected when the safeguard restrictions are removed after 2008. The potential loss of market share to more competitive countries could be painful for Cambodia. Thus, broadening the base of and diversification of the industrial sector is therefore of great urgency. The government is policy committed and will introduce further measures to bolster competitive advantage by lowering costs including port and other transport charges, electricity tariffs, and informal payments which are high in Cambodia to pursue industrial restructuring of Cambodia based on market principles.

f)      Employment\ generation. The traditional role of agriculture as the main source of additional employment has diminished. At the present, the role of the garment industry as a source of employment and income generation is more pivotal. However, the rapid expansion of employment in the manufacturing sector could not fully compensate the inadequate employment absorption in agriculture. A more robust agricultural development can revive the role of agriculture as a significant contributor to employment and income generation. However, the volatility of agricultural production is not only a cause of widening income and asset inequality and immediate obstacle to poverty reduction, but is also a major constraint to sustainable, broad-based development of the non-farm economy. The Government has increased investment in irrigation infrastructure reducing to some extent the vulnerability of agricultural outputs to weather condition.




[1] The MEF recognizes that lowering of the VAT registration threshold could increase the administrative workload for the tax department and adversely affect tax compliance while department already struggling to control the compliance of existing large and medium-size taxpayers. In order to cope with this matter, tax administration capacity will be further strengthened along with introduction of full automatization of tax administration operations.
[2] Despite these difficulties which must be explicitly noted, these forecasts must be developed for each of the different tax categories (conditional on intended administrative improvements as well as on sectoral forecasts), both as an input into the general budgeting process and as monitorable performance indicators.
[3] So far 17 provinces have been integrated into the Real Tax Regime.
 Prepared by SRS...

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